TNS-BMRB Mar XX Mar 3 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 33% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 5.5% The new pollster adds to the confusion There’s a new poll out from TNS-BRMB, which carries out its polling face-to-face but where interviewees self-complete their responses on a lap-top in confidence. The comparisons are with the last poll from the firm a month ago. I’m not sure about the fieldwork dates but the figures look a lot…
SkyNews Who’s winning the “jobs tax” skirmish? With just five days to go before the election is expected to be called there’ve been furious exchanges over a letter from business leaders about the impact on jobs of the NI changes. It started when Peter Mandelson declared that the bosses had been fooled into backing the Tory plan. In a fast moving news cycle two of the bosses have now hit back at what they describe as “patronising” claims. All this…
Guardian ..or is it. Could it be for real? I was nearly had. I was just about to do a post on Labour’s apparent new election strategy when it twigged – today is April 1st. This is how the Guardian describes Labour “new” approach: “In an audacious new election strategy, Labour is set to embrace Gordon Brown’s reputation for anger and physical aggression, presenting the prime minister as a hard man, unafraid of confrontation, who is willing to take on…
YG daily poll – Sun Mar 31 Mar 30 CONSERVATIVES 38% 38% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5%  Harris poll – Metro Mar 31 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 37% 35% LABOUR 27% 28% LIB DEMS 19% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 5%  No clear winner in tonight’s polls Two polls are out tonight, the daily YouGov one for The Sun and one from Harris for Metro, report opposing movements…
Angus Reid for Politicalbetting Mar 31 Mar 17 CONSERVATIVES 39%37% 39% LABOUR 27%28% 26% LIB DEMS 23%22% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 –% 8% And others drop sharply as well With the election only days away from being called there’s a boost for the Lib Dems in the latest PB/Angus Reid poll. The entire field-work took place yesterday and today and so was completed after Monday’s Channel 4 “Ask the Chancellors” debate. A big feature in this latest…
The PB guide to fiddling simple on-line polls How to vote as often as you want This is not rocket-science and many PBers will know this already but I thought a guide to how to fix simple online polls might be timely. No doubt we’ll see a deluge of them in the next few weeks and the more people know how they can be fiddled the less notice that will be taken of them. It really is quite simple. The…
Could opinion harden against a hung parliament? Both the Guardian and Telegraph lead on a civil service plan that would have Mr. Brown remaining at Number 10 in the case of a hung parliament. As the Guardian puts it: “Under the proposals, which have been drawn up to prevent a constitutional crisis and a run on the pound, parliament may not reconvene for nearly three weeks to allow the prime minister to form a working government with the minority parties….
YG daily poll – Sun Mar 30 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% And the LDs gain just one So a bit of a disappointment for the Lib Dems after last night’s performance by Vincle Cable in the debates but at least they are moving up a notch. The Tory=Labour splt just the same so no notoiceable change following the big NIC announcement. There is a…