But why didn’t the Tories get a majority?

But why didn’t the Tories get a majority?

Was/is the Conservative brand still contaminated? It’s now just on five months since the general election and the conference season has prompted a fair bit of looking back to try to work out what happened and why, specifically, the Tories failed in their attempt to secure an overall majority. I’ve just finished reading Denis Kavanagh’s and Philip Cowley’s The British General Election of 2010 – the eighteenth in a series of studies that go back to 1945. It comprises of…

Read More Read More

Is Nadine the best argument for a CON-LD alliance?

Is Nadine the best argument for a CON-LD alliance?

Would Nadine really prefer to die? This is from E-politix “Nadine Dorries has said she would “rather die” than fight the next election in an alliance with the Liberal Democrats. “In my own perspective, and speaking in no other capacity but as an individual, I would rather die than go into a full election as a coalition candidate,” she said. “I fought them for every council seat, I fought Andrew Stunell in 2001 in Hazel Grove, I have been fighting…

Read More Read More

++++Labour have a 3 point lead with Angus Reid++++

++++Labour have a 3 point lead with Angus Reid++++

Poll Date CON LAB LD Angus Reid/S. Express 01/10/10 35 38 16 BPIX-YouGov/Mail on Sunday 01/10/10 41 37 13 News International/YouGov 01/10/10 39 41 11 ComRes online 01/10/10 39 36 15 ICM 29/09/10 35 37 18 The polling give a very mixed picture We’ve now picked up two other polls that are in today’s Sunday papers and they give a differing picture of public opinion in the wake of Ed Miliband election to the Labour leadership and last week’s Labour…

Read More Read More

How much has Ed’s win boosted the pro-AV camp?

How much has Ed’s win boosted the pro-AV camp?

Will he become a leading player in the referendum campaign? Last week’s Labour leadership election was one of the most high-profile AV election that the British public’s seen. It was also one which would probably tie Ed Miliband into the Yes team for the referendum, even were he not already inclined that way. After he only took the lead on the final transfer of votes, it would undermine his own position to do anything else. The question is how energetically…

Read More Read More

++++News International YouGov has C39:L41:LD11++++

++++News International YouGov has C39:L41:LD11++++

Poll Date CON LAB LD News International/YouGov 01/10/10 39 41 11 News International/YouGov 30/09/10 41 39 12 News International/YouGov 29/09/10 41 39 12 News International/YouGov 28/09/10 41 40 12 News International/YouGov 27/09/10 39 40 12 News International/YouGov 24/09/10 39 38 15 The latest daily poll for News International from the YouGov polling panel has Labour with a two point lead and the Lib Dems down at 11%. So good news for the red team and bad news for the yellows…

Read More Read More

Is Balls at Defence the coalition’s biggest fear?

Is Balls at Defence the coalition’s biggest fear?

Could Liam Fox be given the Michael Gove treatment? Yesterday I had a fascinating conversation with a well connected Lib Dem about how Ed Miliband should allocate portfolios in his new shadow cabinet line-up. He argued that the new leader’s main priority should be to use the talents he has at his disposal to maximise problems for the coalition. For Ed Balls he came up with the surprising suggestion of shadow secretary of defence. His view was that the most…

Read More Read More