MORI breakdown CON % LAB % LD % OTH % Â Turn- Out All 37 30 24 10 65% Gender Male 38 28 22 12 66% Female 36 31 26 8 64% Age 18-24 30 31 30 9 44% 25-34 35 30 29 7 55% 35-44 34 31 26 9 66% 45-54 34 28 26 12 69% 55-64 38 28 23 12 73% 65+ 44 31 16 9 76% <tr> Men…
Will this calm the doubters on his own side? I thought Ed Miliband did extremely well first time out and marked it 5/10 Cameron to 7/10 EdM. His focus on the child benefit changes was clearly the right strategy and his persistent and restrained tone must have come as something as a shock to the PM who on a number of occasions looked flustered. His attacks on Labour for causing the financial problems didn’t convince. Clearly Cameron had no idea…
Is this the reason for the disappointing polls? Just after mid-day, when Ed Miliband gets to his feet for his first PMQs as leader of the opposition, you can bet that some commentator somewhere will observe that the new Labour leader does not have the backing of the MPs behind him. For ever since EdM was declared winner on that September Saturday in Manchester there’ve been ongoing suggestions that somehow his election was illegitimate. It was as though newspapers and…
In less than three weeks, the U.S. mid-term elections will fundamentally transform the trajectory of American politics. The results will not only determine the fate of the Obama agenda but will also set the framework for the 2012 presidential election season that will unofficially begin almost as soon as the last ballots are cast on November 2. But how is an interested punter to make sense of the hundreds, nay thousands, of races comprising the mid-term elections, from the U.S….
Is the “commentariat” underestimating Johnson? At just after 2.30pm in the commons this afternoon the new shadow chancellor in Ed Miliband’s line-up, Alan Johnson, takes on George Osborne in their first treasury questions. There’ll be many, no doubt, including those sitting on his side of the house who’ll be thinking that Labour would do better if Balls or Cooper had been there instead. Winning the economic argument looks set to be absolutely central to the general election and Labour, many…
Have the LDs only themselves to blame for the fees predicament? If truth be told when 54 of the current 57 Lib Dem MPs signed the apparently “solemn pledge” to vote against an increase in student fees then very few could have foreseen what a problem it would be six months down the line. As a piece of campaigning in university seats the pledge signing by party candidates looked smart creating a neat photo op. But how it all looks…
What will the Guardian’s November ICM poll be showing? A Labour lead of 5% or above A Labour lead of 3-4% A Labour lead of 1-2% The Tories and Labour level pegging A Tory lead of 1-2% A Tory lead of 3-4% A Tory lead of 5% or above What are next month’s polls going to look like? Just over a week to go before the coalition’s big statement on how its going to achieve its ambitions to cut…
Which leader “best understands your family’s financial position?†All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters David Cameron 29 68 9 11 Ed Miliband 24 2 64 16 Nick Clegg 15 14 6 48 Why have the numbers of general election switchers stalled? The above is taken from the latest ICM poll and shows the party splits to an ICM question that we see from time to time – “Putting aside your own party preference, which one of the following…