The red team continues to make progress Party Votes Cast % Votes Seats Won Change Labour 17714 35.69% 14 +5 Conservatives 14594 29.41% 10 -3 Liberal Democrats 10139 20.43% 6 -1 Independents 2181 4.39% 2 -1 Plaid Cymru 1297 2.61% 0 -1 Green Party 1139 2.30% 0 n/c United Kingdom Independence Party 771 1.55% 0 n/c Scottish National Party 571 1.15% 0 n/c British National Party 183 0.37% 0 n/c Other Parties 1037 2.09% 2 1 GAINS / LOSSES Conservative…
Ipsos-MORI Or will the Tories of yesteryear emerge again? Every month for more than thirty years Ipsos-MORI has asked the same two part-question question in the same standard way which, almost uniquely, is totally unprompted. The pollster asks “What do you see as the most important/other important issues face Britain today”. As you’d expect the economy, race relations and immigration, unemployment and crime figure high as you can see here. But there’s one issue that’s been sharply on the decline…
Google News search -“Ed Miliband” Is visibility always the problem when you are opposition leader? On the face of it yesterday was a pretty bad news day for the coalition. There was Boris and “call me Dave” having their huge public spat over housing benefit, a suggestion that the child benefit move for higher rate tax-payers might be a lot harder to achieve than was first thought, and the PM fighting a tough battle in the EU. Yet the main…
Enter this evening’s quickie competition The publishers of the Kavanagh/Cowley General Election 2010 book have given PB a copy for a competition prize. So can you guess the numbers in tonight’s YouGov daily poll which will be out at 10pm. Please post on the thread giving the shares for the three main parties and the government approval/disapproval figures. The competition will be decided by who is the least wrong. So if you have CON 41: LAB 38: LD11 and 41%…
Cambridge University Press Could your politics be determined by your genetic make-up? Like most PB regulars, I guess, I’ve always assumed that a person’s political ideology is determined by family environment and friends. New research suggests something different. For liberals, at least, may owe their political outlook partly to their genetic make-up, according to researchers from the University of California, San Diego, and Harvard University. Ideology is affected not just by social factors, but also by a dopamine receptor gene…
Populus poll All voters Public Sector Private Sector Retired voters CON 37 23 45 44 LAB 38 50 30 37 LD 15 17 15 10 Do people vote according to their current situation? The above table has been produced from data from this week’s Populus poll for the Times and shows the voting intention shares broken down in terms of respondents employment sector or whether or not they are retired. As can be seen there’s a massive gap between private…
Betfair Politics Betfair Politics We are less than a week away from next Tuesday’s elections in the US when two of the key issues will be whether the Democrats lose control of both the House and the Senate. So far, at least, the markets think that the Republicans will take control of the House but not the Senate. So far there’s not been a lot of betting in the UK though that could grow sharply in the final few days….
Should EdM be thinking of the wider audience? In his summary of today’s PMQ encounter between Cameron and Ed Miliband the Indy on Sunday’s John Rentoul concluded:- “..Good tactics on Miliband’s part; poor strategy. He succeeded in winding up Iain Duncan Smith, Work and Pensions Secretary, standing at the end opposite the Speaker’s chair, shouting, “Absolute rubbish!†He succeeded in dividing the left-wing of the Liberal Democrats from their colleagues on the Government benches. (Miliband had a good line about…