Smarkets have this market up on the type of government formed after the next election. For those who still have doubts about if Starmer will win a majority given the level of gains he needs to win a majority. There may well be some value in here, though I would advise reading the terms and conditions. The one thing I feel confident in laying would the chance of a coalition featuring Labour & The SNP. I suspect the SNP price…
A film released in the summer is quite rightly viewed by Brits as a non Christmas film. The people have spoken. TSE
One of Labour’s flagship policies for government is to strip private schools of their charitable status. I’m slightly supportive of this policy and I say that as somebody who benefitted from a private education I would recommend it to any parent but I do wonder if these tax breaks could be better spent elsewhere in education. Recently it was announced ‘Almost 600 [state] schools in England are undergoing urgent structural checks. Many more unaware of danger of collapse posed by…
Starmer could have to wait 18 months to become PM Given the way the polls are going it is hard to see any sort of recovery in the months before the general election. The public appears to have made up its mind about Sunak and his party and there are very few positive signs for the Tories. The July 20th byelections will likely add another nail in the coffin and there have been reports that he himself has given up….
We are only nine days away from the July 20th by-elections where the Tories are defending three seats. Mid-Bedfordshire, as we have noted several times, might never happen because the Tory incumbent, Nadine Dorries, has yet to resign. As can be seen punters think that the Tories are going to be in for a dreadful night a week on Thursday. It is hard to dispute the current betting odds. The only oddity is Mid Beds where punters have the LDs…
I very much like this R&W chart because it gets to the heart of what the next election will be about and Starmer continues to get markedly better ratings than Sunak. I still wonder if Sunak could be in danger. Tory MPs faced with the real prospect of losing their seats might just start to panic and the PM could be facing a crisis. One thing I think is becoming clear is that Sunak will likely wait before he calls…
As the betting chart shows there has been a marked fall in the odds of Joe Biden winning his party’s nomination. A big question that is now being increasingly raised is his age as in this article in The Atlantic under the heading “Step aside Joe Biden – The president has no business running for office at age 80. We are less than five months away from the first primaries and I wonder whether the incumbent is going to face…