Will Dave/Nick/Ed all still be there at the general election?

Will Dave/Nick/Ed all still be there at the general election?

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It’s 6/4 that they won’t Several traditional bookmakers have been running markets on which of the three party leaders will be first to leave their post and I’ve yet to tempted by any of them. The markets are open-ended and it could be years before you get a return. The new betting exchange, Smarkets, has a slightly different structure in that there’s an option on Cameron/Clegg/Miliband all still being in their jobs at the time of the next general election….

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This week’s YouGov leader approval ratings

This week’s YouGov leader approval ratings

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David Cameron David Cameron “doing well/badly” (YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 49 (+2) 95 13 78 Badly 44 (-1) 4 84 18 Ed Miliband Ed Miliband “doing well/badly” (YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 30 (+2) 17 63 26 Badly 44 (+7) 62 20 42 Nick Clegg Nick Clegg “doing well/badly” (YouGov) All (last week) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 33 (+1) 67 7 76 Badly 56…

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Radio 4’s nightmare day goes on

Radio 4’s nightmare day goes on

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After this morning’s appalling error on the Today programme when cabinet minister Jeremy Hunt’s name was described with a “C” at the start of his surnane rather than an “H” there’s another incident that’s going to cause deep embarrassment. As the Tweet above explains an interview with a Lib Dem PPS who was said to be considering resigning over tuition fees was actually with an impostor. The Corporation, it would appear, was conned. Somebody needs to get a grip. Mike…

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Continuation thread..

Continuation thread..

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I’m tied up for most of the day and won’t be in a position to publish a new piece until late afternoon. Today we could get news of the Old & Sad by election date and, of course, I am sure that everybody has heard this Today programme classic from this morning. Mike Smithson

How would you vote if you were a LD MP?

How would you vote if you were a LD MP?

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Is abstention the option for wusses? Just four days to go before the big commons vote on fees and what could potentially be a career-ending decision for each of the 57 MPs who were elected for the Lib Dems last May. What would you do in their position – there are just three options: You vote for the tripling of the maximum fee and risk being accused of breaking your promises and alienating a significant part of your electorate who…

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Jonathan on Sunday

Jonathan on Sunday

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A tale of two elections At first glance, the 2010 and 2001 general elections couldn’t be more different. But look again and you can see a curious coincidence that may have a bearing on the future. In 2001, Labour won a landslide and was secure in power for more than 5 years. Turnout was low, largely because the result was widely expected. The 2010 election was close, turnout rose. We ended up with a balanced hung parliament, which created the…

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Is Alan Johnson worth a 33-1 punt?

Is Alan Johnson worth a 33-1 punt?

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Mail on Sunday What do we think of the Mail on Sunday story? I’ve just placed a bet with Ladbrokes against Alan Johnson as next Labour leader at the very attractive price of 33/1. What’s prompted it is the above report from the Mail on Sunday that Johnson is being urged to ‘ready himself’ to replace Ed Miliband who has only been in the job since September 25th. This seems to be be just about plausible given Alan Johnson’s very…

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How long can the Johnson-EdM stand-off go on?

How long can the Johnson-EdM stand-off go on?

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At some stage, surely, one of them has to give? The Speccie’s James Forsyth has picked up on another airing in public of a policy disagreement with his boss by the shadow chancellor, Alan Johnson. The issue the latter’s continuing opposition to a graduate tax is reiterated again today in an interview with the Telegraph. Clearly this is the issue of the moment and when Johnson tells the paper that ” .frankly, there’s a difference of view..I feel it’s going…

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