Was this the weirdest political moment of 2010?
Did anybody ever work out what it was all about? And are there any other gems we can look at during this long Christmas holiday? Please post links in the thread below. Mike Smithson
Why’s Labour talking down the Tories in Old & Sad?
Would the smarter strategy be to talk them up? An intriguing feature of Labour’s OES by-election campaign is that it is trying to confirm the ongoing media narrative that the Tories are not really trying. The party’s campaign manager, Iain Wright who got into parliament after winning the 2004 Hartlepool by-election, has been saying “I have seen no activity from the Tories whatsoever. I think they have left it too late.” On the face of it you’d think that the…
What are poll junkies going to do every night?
Client/pollster Date CON % LAB % LD % Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 22/12/10 40 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 21/12/10 40 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 20/12/10 40 43 8 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 19/12/10 39 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 16/12/10 41 41 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 15/12/10 42 40 8 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 14/12/10 39 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 13/12/10 41 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 10/12/10 40 42 9…
Could OES postal voting exceed 50 percent?
Which party has netted the most? At the general election on May 6th 2010 a total of 8,316 of 45,092 votes that were cast in Oldham E & Saddleworth were postal ballots – that’s almost one in five and typical of what we saw in closely contested marginal seats. For the party machines like to “bank” as many votes as possible before the election so that on the day they can focus on getting the non-postal voters out. They are…
It’s not only the Lib Dems whose numbers are shrinking
Newsspaper circulation figures November daily sales %age change on 2009 January 2000 figures Daily Mirror 1,177,629 -6.54 2,270,543 Daily Star 756,686 -8.10 502,647 The Sun 2,898,113 -2.04 3,557,336 Daily Express 639,690 -6.64 979,042 Daily Mail 2,100,885 -2.22 2,353,915 The Daily Telegraph 652,762 -12.28 1,022,263 Financial Times 400,699 -.09 435,478 The Guardian 270,582 -11.35 401,560 The Independent 177,636 -4.78 222,106 The Times 466,311 -17.21 726,349 Where does the printed media go from here?
Time to cross Portsmouth S off the by election list?
Some pre-Xmas good news for the yellows? Today’s news that no charges are to be brought against Portsmouth South MP, Mike Hancock, should provide some welcome good news for Nick Clegg and his party. For if the case of alleged “inappropriate behaviour” with a constituent had gone to trial then Hancock would probably have had to resign his seat leading to a very difficult by-election for his party to have to fight. He had been arrested and bailed in October….
Should Clegg have gone for the Picasso – not turquoise strategy?
Picasso – Night fishing at Antibes Was this the way of keeping the LDs distinctive? With the continuing Lib Dem falling poll shares, the Vince Cable affair and the ongoing reverberations from the student fees decision there’ve been some fascinating posts on PB about what went wrong and the strategy the party might have followed. One of the most insightful came overnight from long-standing poster, Yellow Submarine in which he looked to the art world for inspiration. The 2010 result…
The yellows are at 9 points as well with Angus Reid
Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % Angus Reid/ 20/12/10 35 41 9 Angus Reid/ 29/11/10 35 40 13 Angus Reid/ 28/10/10 35 37 15 Angus Reid/Sunday Express 01/10/10 35 38 16 And Labour take a six point lead There’s a new poll tonight from Angus Reid which has the Lib Dems taking a huge hit dropping from 13% at the end of November to 9 points now. Labour move up to 41% giving them a six point margin…