Will being forced to stay positive have hurt Labour?

Will being forced to stay positive have hurt Labour?

But hasn’t this taken the edge off their message? The events that led up to this by-election have put a series of constraints on the red team which is certainly showing itself in the final couple of days. For the one thing they’ve been unable to do is put out anything that could be portrayed as a smear against the LD’s Elwyn Watkins – the man who took the Woolas campaign to court leading to the ex-minister being disqualified. The…

Read More Read More

Marf makes a return to PB

Marf makes a return to PB

But please go on voting in our OES prediction We haven’t seen Marf, PB’s cartoonist for some time and it’s great to welcome her back with her take on the bankers’ bonuses – a subject we would have been covering but for the proximity of Thursday’s election. In the meantime you can continue to make your predictions on what will happen in Old & Sad. It’s great to welcome you back Marf – you’ve been missed. What will be the…

Read More Read More

OK guys and gals: time to put your predictions on the record

OK guys and gals: time to put your predictions on the record

Is this women going to be an MP on Friday? I’ve just laid Labour at 1.05 on Betfair – that’s a return of 20 times the money I’ve got at risk if they fail to do it. I think it’s a value bet. So what about you. What do you think will be the outcome on Thursday? Please use the quickies poll below and used the thread to post your predictions for posterity. PB, for those that didn’t know, is…

Read More Read More

So will Barnsley Central be the next by-election?

So will Barnsley Central be the next by-election?

Barnsley General election result Party Votes % +/- Eric Illsley Labour 17487 47.3 -10.4 Christopher Wiggin Liberal Democrat 6394 17.3 -2 Piers Tempest Conservative 6388 17.3 2.5 Ian Sutton British National Party 3307 8.9 4.4 David Silver UK Independence Party 1727 4.7 4.7 Donald Wood Independent 732 2 2 Tony Devoy Independent 610 1.6 1.6 Terry Robinson Socialist Labour Party 356 1 1 And will Labour’s ratings continue to be untouched? Today at Southwark Crown Court the only sitting MP…

Read More Read More

Do voters really care about who is most local?

Do voters really care about who is most local?

Is Watkins trying to do to Labour what Woolas did to him? One of the elements of September’s election court ruling on Phil Woolas was over the then Labour candidate’s claim that the Lib Dem was not telling the truth over “being a local”. Now, in the final couple of days of the campaign the yellow standard-bearer is trying to make an issue over the veracity of his Labour opponent’s claim to “be local”. In a leaflet he picks up…

Read More Read More

Labour takes an eight point lead with ComRes

Labour takes an eight point lead with ComRes

Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent (phone) 09/01/11 34 42 12 ComRes/IoS-S.Mirror(Online) 17/12/10 37 39 11 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 19/11/10 37 38 13 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 15/10/10 40 34 14 ComRes/Independent (Online) 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 16/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV (Phone) 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent…

Read More Read More

Jonathan’s weekly slot: Tonight a rant about turnout

Jonathan’s weekly slot: Tonight a rant about turnout

Ged Wilmot/Saddleworth News Facebook page What can be done to get more people voting? As the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election reaches fever pitch, I wanted to use my regular slot to rant about turnout. A truly fascinating subject, I am sure you agree! How many electors do we think will vote next week? Does it really matter if the turnout is low? And if it does, should we be doing anything about it? At the general election, turnout in…

Read More Read More

Has the Lancashire character made OES a polling nightmare?

Has the Lancashire character made OES a polling nightmare?

Jack Straw addresses a meeting of one – Channel 4 Why are voters keeping it so close to their chests? A former Tory MP who has been doing extensive phone canvassing for the by-election told me on Friday of how difficult it was getting any response or indication from those he had contacted in the constituency. He’d made dozens of contacts but call after call ended in the same way. He put it all down to “northern reticence” and maybe…

Read More Read More