I never knew how annoying I was until I created miniature versions of myself and spent time with them, I suspect the teenagers who are currently running the Tory Twitter account will have a similar epiphany when they become parents. The post from the Tory Party’s Twitter account was derided at the time by Tory MPs who urged the tweet to be deleted because they realised it would be counter productive. This tweet was sadly not an exception, when the…
Nothing better epitomises Rishi Sunak being an arrogant, out of touch elitist than the way he mounts his chopper on a regular basis. Brilliant political analysts have warned Sunak for a while that this is going to damage him such as this piece here from August, what is different now Sunak’s behaviour has taken away money from the Ministry of Defence, short of Sunak punching a NHS nurse on live TV I am not sure how the optics could look…
No, you haven’t logged on to the wrong forum (well, maybe – only you know for sure). Sometime next year I expect the broadcasters will be brushing the dust off their swingometers, giving them a fresh lick of paint, and oiling the needle pivot in readiness for the long-awaited General Election. I have a tip for broadcasters: “You’re gonna need a bigger dial”. The current Labour lead averages about 18-19%. At the last election the Tories won by 11.7%. Unless…
Are the Tories fooling themselves? There are a lot of reports around at the moment about how the Tories think they can fight the election by going negative against Starmer. We see this in Sunak’s regular efforts at PMQs when he tries to make Starmer’s role while working for the then LAB leader, Corbyn, into an issue. Only problem is that there is no evidence yet that this is going to work. It all reminds me of the Tory efforts…
This looks set to be one of the big political betting markets as we move into 2024. When is Sunak going to take the gamble and call an election? As can be seen the current second favourite is April-June next year. So this would be about the same time as the 2024 locals. I’m not so sure. Unless there is dramatic change in the polls I cannot see Sunak taking the gamble. He’ll want to hang on in case something…
December 2023 December 2022 The Tories aren’t catching up and time is running out
The above is from the dataset of YouGov’s latest national voting poll for the Times and the group I focus upon are the responses to the second set of data. This shows the responses when the don’t knows are included. The particular part that I am looking at most is the column showing what 2019 Conservative voters and now saying and as can be seen fewer than 40% of those who backed Boris Johnson’s party in December 2019 are certain…