Will Osborne be able to turn things round with his budget?

Will Osborne be able to turn things round with his budget?

Or can Balls build on his lead? Perhaps the most surprising finding from today’s MORI poll were the above ones on who would make “best chancellor” for the pollster found, and I think this is a first, that Balls is ahead. Certainly Labour’s man has been playing a big public role and has always seized opportunities to make news and get coverage. What a turnaround for the man whose apparent unelectability was a key issue in last autumn’s Labour leadership…

Read More Read More

Ipsos-MORI has boosts for the blues and Dave

Ipsos-MORI has boosts for the blues and Dave

Poll/Publication Date CON % LAB % LD % OTH % Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 13/03/11 37 41 10 12 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/02/11 33 43 13 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 24/01/11 33 43 13 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/12/10 38 39 11 12 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 17/10/10 39 36 14 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/09/10 37 37 15 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 8 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/06/10 39 31 19 11 It’s CON 37: LAB 41: LD 10 The monthly telephone poll from Ipsos-MORI for Reuters is…

Read More Read More

How’s the government comparing with its predecessors?

How’s the government comparing with its predecessors?

Ipsos-MORI The 32 year view from Mrs Thatcher onwards This is a chart that Ipsos-MORI produces on most months in order to put current government approval ratings figures in an historical context. It shows how the satisfied-dissatisfied numbers moved month by month in the first year after a general election. So at this stage, the chart is based on February’s polling, the coalition is doing substantially better than John Major’s 1992 government and a touch better compared with nine months…

Read More Read More

YouGov Wales: An example of the “Mirror Magnifier”?

YouGov Wales: An example of the “Mirror Magnifier”?

How 6.9% of the sample was worth 21%? Last Wednesday YouGov reported that Labour were on 48% for the Welsh Assembly elections on May 5th and were possibly heading for an overall majority They might well be but ftom the initial detail that the pollster released I was uncomfortable by the heavy weighting uplift that Labour had in the poll and the sizeable down-scale of the Tory vote. Now with the availability today of the full weightings data we can…

Read More Read More

Why was Dave so unprepared on the NHS?

Why was Dave so unprepared on the NHS?

A victory for EdM this week As predicted here last night Ed Miliband used his PMQ opportunity this week to open the potential split within the coalition on the NHS changes and put Cameron on the spot over what’s being proposed. The PM’s lack of response to Miliband’s point about the NHS being opened up to EU competition law was very telling. It appeared that he was not up to speed on what’s in the government’s bill. The danger for…

Read More Read More

Votes for Prisoners – will the Supreme Court let Dave off the hook?

Votes for Prisoners – will the Supreme Court let Dave off the hook?

Sean Fear investigates The ruling by the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) that this country’s blanket ban on prisoners voting is unlawful has handed Cameron’s political opponents a handy stick with which to beat him. The Commons has made it absolutely plain that this ruling is anathema, yet at the same time, Kenneth Clarke, and the Liberal Democrats, are adamant that the ruling must be complied with. Right wing newspapers are arguing that Britain should withdraw from the European…

Read More Read More

Will Dave do to Lansley what he did to Spelman?

Will Dave do to Lansley what he did to Spelman?

What’s he going to say to Ed about the NHS reforms? You don’t have to be much of a political pundit to work out that the main domestic focus of Ed Miliband’s questions at PMQs tomorrow will be on the government’s troubled plans for the NHS. For not only will he have a raft of material from Saturday’s debate at the Lib Dem conference to refer to there’s also today’s decision by the BMA calling for the withdrawal of the…

Read More Read More

Will Dave get the blame if AV is passed?

Will Dave get the blame if AV is passed?

Did the blues make the wrong call last May? On the previous thread Laptop posed the question of whether, in the light of what’s happened over the past ten months, the Tories would have been better going for a “supply & confidence” arrangement with the Lib Dems rather than full coalition? Certainly looking at the way the polls and and Barnsley have gone things look bleak for the yellows as they face the May 5th English locals and the devolved…

Read More Read More