And Ladbrokes now make Dave 4/1 to be next cabinet exit The third major telephone poll of the month, the July political monitor by Ipsos-MORI for Reuters, is being published this morning and looks set to have bad news for the blues. Although the actual figures are not yet available the above chart has been based on data from a Reuters news video which can be seen here. The Tory share of 32% is the lowest with the pollster since…
More of Marf’s work can be found at http://www.londonsketchbook.com/
The queueing starts for public seats Members of the public anxious to see this afternoon’s Commons Culture, Media and Sport Select Committee have already begun lining up to be certain of the limited number of spaces that will be available. This is an extraordinary parliamentary occasion and a global media event. The start time is 2.30pm Rupert Murdoch, his son James and the ex-CEO of News International Rebekah Brooks, will be quizzed against the backdrop of the death of phone…
Does this suggest the most people don’t care? The survey is out and it’s hard to discern whether the hacking scandal has had any impact. The polling involves asking unprompted what respondees think are the key issues and, to me, compares favourably with other issues polling where prompting might influence the response. MORI has been doing it in this week for nearly a third of a century. Because of the nature of the interview process fieldwork is carried out face-to-face,…
YouGov/News International – CON 37%, LAB 42%, LD 9% ICM/Guardian – CON 37%, LAB 36%, LD 16% Populus/Times – CON 34%, LAB 39%, LD 11% It’s not often outside election periods that we get three polls in one evening all from established pollsters. That’s happened tonight and we see a big variation particularly between ICM and YouGov. I’ll be doing a more detailed post ionce we have the detailed data but a lot of the variation is down to methodology….
And the Tories move back into the lead The first of two telephone polls tonight is out – the Guardian monthly survey from ICM and the voting intention numbers suggest that thew biggest beneficiaries from the hacking scandal have been Nick Clegg’s Liib Dems. The shares, as seen in the chart are CON 37: LAB 36: LD 16. Clegg sees his party up 4 from the low of June and the best shares since February. Labour drop three and the…