Is that the challenge for the unions As well as the straight “do you support the strike” questions there’s a fair bit of other data that gives a pointer as to how successful today’s day of action will be. TNS-BMRB had just 12% saying they will be affected a lot and only 4% of private sector workers claim to know a lot about why the strikes are happening. So the unions would seem to have a big challenge getting their…
Who’s going to come out of this on top? With the big strike on public sector pensions due to start in only a few hours it’s quite hard from the polls to work out how the public actually feel. Some surveys, like TNS-BMRB, this afternoon has support evenly split between the strikers and the government (40% vs. 37%). Other polls, notably YouGov and ComRes have those opposed to the strikes in the the lead. Thus YouGov at the weekend had…
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Farage’s party at just 3% in ComRes phone poll There’s a new phone poll out from ComRes for the Independent. The figures are, with changes on the firm’s last phone poll, CON 37%(+3): LAB 39%(+1): LD 10%(-4): OTH 14%. This is the first telephone national voting intention poll since the Survation survey on Saturday which had UKIP on 11% – just one point behind the Lib Dems. Although the Lib Dems slipped back sharply in this latest survey they still…
Welcome to the first party since Disqus!! The regular PB get-togethers at the Dirty Dicks pub, just opposite Liverpool Street station in London, have been attracting more and more posters and lurkers. It’s a great chance to put faces to names and to chew over the issues of the day. Our pre-Christmas party is this Thursday starting at about 6.30pm. Fat Steve (why he calls himself that I don’t know) has arranged yet again that an area at the on…
Betfair Politics Has the red team got the wrong candidate? The chart shows the trend in Betfair prices in next May’s battle for the mayor of London in which Ken will be trying to win his old job back. I write “trend” which in this case means no real movement. Apart from a little drop for Boris six weeks ago from which he quickly recovered the figures have remained remarkably consistent. Punters rate this as a 65-35 battle. Given how…
Could her intervention be decisive? For those who love to follow and bet on the White House race it’s been an eventful and absorbing weekend with a lot of money being wagered. The table above from the Intrade website says it all – from being given a greater than 70% chance by the punters on the betting market only a few days ago the ex-Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney, has seen his price edge down to its current 57.4%. At the…