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Is she the most effective advocate of the NHS changes? Anybody who watched this morning’s Daily Politics will have been impressed by the hugely effective way 2010 newbie, Anna Soubry dealt with the NHS changes. If you didn’t see it check it out when it comes out on BBC IPlayer in the next hour or so. In terms of communication skills Soubry is the equal of or even better than anybody in the entire cabinet or shadow cabinet which, admittedly,…

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In the end its about Romney. What happened tonight to get people over their concerns about him? Not much. This isn’t over by far — Joe Trippi (@JoeTrippi) February 23, 2012 Romney refuses to name a misconception about himself. How about, he’s a flip flopping, elitist liberal? #cnndebate #azdebate — Tim Stanley (@timothy_stanley) February 23, 2012 Santorum dropped quite a bit on Intrade during the debate. Now just 6.8% chance of winning GOP nomination, started at 11% — Nate Silver…

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…the 20th and possibly final GOP TV debate Amazingly there have been nineteen separate TV debates in the fight for the GOP nomination. Tonight’s event, being staged near Phoenix in Arizona, is the twentieth and will almost certainly see Rick Santorum coming under close scrutiny. In all the previous events he’s never been centre stage and it will be interesting wathching how he performs and how the other contenders react to him. A lot of this is not about the…

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Does Dave need better rhetoric on the Lansley plan? A sure sign that you are losing an argument is when, like Cameron did at PMQs today, you accuse your opponent of “being opportunistic”. After recent successes raising the NHS reforms it was clear that Ed Miliband was going to do the same today. The problem is that Cameron hasn’t found a way of dealing with it in a manner that resonates. He needs much more refined rhetoric. Whenever the issue…

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Could this be a difficult CON-LD issue? There’s a report in the Telegraph this morning that could open up the divide on tax between the coalition partnets. Under the heading “50p tax rate ‘failing to boost revenues” the paper reports that there was a £509m drop in tax paid by those paying by self-assessment last month with the suggestion that high earners have simply adjusted their affairs to get round the rate – first imposed towards the end of the…

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Welcome once again to the cafe – our informal overnight thread where you set the agenda. This is the latest from the Gallup daily tracking poll in the GOP race. Republican presidential preference, national trend (Gallup tracking) #gop twitter.com/pollreport/sta… — PollingReport.com (@pollreport) February 21, 2012 Have a good night. @MikeSmithsonOGH

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538 blog New York Times And Gingrich could be struggling in his home state Above is the latest projection from Nate Silvers 538 blog at the New York Times and shows his latest projection for the crucial Michigan primary that takes place a week today. As can be seen he’s giving it to Romney by the smallest of margins. A new Mitchell Research poll taken yesterday has Romney 2 points ahead. Just over a week ago the same pollster had…

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