Will Siobhan become the 1st choice of LAB voters with qualms about Ken?

Will Siobhan become the 1st choice of LAB voters with qualms about Ken?

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Meet my 250/1 long shot for City Hall Have you noticed how over the past few days there’s increasing talk about the challenge from the ex-senior civil servant with powerful friends, Siobhan Benita, for Mayor of London? This is from a two page report from Rachel Sylvestor in the Times over the weekend: Siobhan Benita is the one to watch. This former civil servant who resigned from the department of health over Andrew Lansley’s NHS reforms is attracting support from…

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FLASHBACK: It’s 20 years to the day since the Tories won a majority

FLASHBACK: It’s 20 years to the day since the Tories won a majority

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Will we ever see a result like this again? I hope you are watching the re-run of the results programme on the BBC Parliament channel. As can be seen from the screen-shot above the exit poll was very much out – as were the final opinion polls. Only one of them, Gallup, showed a Tory lead and that was of just 0.5%. In the end the blue team won a majority and a GB vote lead of 7.5%. This was…

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Which company do you rate most in the high-tech world?

Which company do you rate most in the high-tech world?

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Google, Apple, Facebook, Twitter . . . twitter.com/pollreport/sta… — PollingReport.com (@pollreport) April 8, 2012 A slightly different poll for Easter Monday A very common form of questioning in US polling which we hardly see in the UK is the favourable/unfavourable format. This has become the standard for candidate ratings and here the ABC/Washington Post survey applies it to high-tech companies. That Google has a slight edge over Apple is interesting – I’d have guessed the other way round particularly following…

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Is the Mail group giving up on Cameron?

Is the Mail group giving up on Cameron?

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Mail on Sunday Could it be pressing for a pre-election change Sometimes the most important factors about a poll are not the findings but how the commissioning newspaper is covering it. That, I’d suggest, is the case today with the Mail on Sunday’s April survey by Survation. By any standards the coverage, seen in the panel reproduced above, is not very friendly and suggests that the paper would not be too upset if Cameron stood down. Simon Walters writes ..Perhaps…

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LAB drops 4 as many more get on the UKIP bus

LAB drops 4 as many more get on the UKIP bus

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Farage’s party moves to equal third place slot with the LDs There’s a new voting intention poll out for the Mail on Sunday which has others, including UKIP, at 24% which I believe is a record and suggests a move away from the established parties. The shares are with changes on March: CON 30 (-1): LAB 35 (-4): LD 11 (nc): UKIP 11 (+3). The 30% CON share is the lowest from any pollster for the party since Cameron became…

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Are OTHERS set to do well on May 3rd?

Are OTHERS set to do well on May 3rd?

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David Herdson asks: Is now their best chance to breakthrough? The nature of George Galloway’s victory in Bradford West might have been a one-off but the anti-politics mood it fed off is present far more widely. Mike has recently made timely observations that the combined net approval scores for the three leaders with YouGov is at what is probably a record low of -121%, and that despite a rapid drop in government economic trust figures, Labour has barely benefited except…

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ComRes kicks off what could be a terrible Easter for ministers

ComRes kicks off what could be a terrible Easter for ministers

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Dave/George/Nick slump to record lows on economic trust Since October 2010 the ComRes polling for ITV news has asked who people trust to lead the country through the current economic situation. The April figures are bad for the coalition:- David Cameron’s trust figure is down five to 31% and the do not trust David Cameron increasing six to 53% George Osborne’s trust figure is just 21% with 60%, up eight from last month, saying they do not trust the Chancellor…

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