Who will be Mitt’s running mate?

Who will be Mitt’s running mate?

Comments 0 Comment

Following the Texas primary last night, Mitt Romney secured enough delegates to be his party’s Presidential nominee, now he will be considering who to select as his running mate. Jeb Bush has said he would consider an offer to become Mitt Romney’s vice presidential running mate “very carefully.” The former Florida governor told Italian news outlet Linkiesta in an interview on Tuesday. “If Romney were to offer me the job of vice president, I would consider the proposal very carefully,” Bush…

Read More Read More

Michael Gove – bottom of the Populus ratings

Michael Gove – bottom of the Populus ratings

Comments 0 Comment

Is he really a potential leader? There has been a lot written about the education secretary, Michael Gove, since his assured and lucid appearance before the Leveson inquiry. He’s even being talked about as a possible replacement for Dave and at least one bookie makes him the third favourite. But does he have popular appeal? Has he got that special quality that marks a politician out as having leadership potential? The most recent polling I can find are the regular…

Read More Read More

The Irish Referendum

The Irish Referendum

Comments 0 Comment

The Republic of Ireland will hold a referendum to accept the European fiscal compact treaty tomorrow with the problems in Greece and Spain in the background.   The polls are showing the yes side will win, but there are significant don’t knows in the polling. A recent Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll put the support for the treaty at 39%, with 30% against the treaty, some 22% are unsure of how to vote and 9% intending not to vote. In March it…

Read More Read More

Why aren’t SNP voters backing Salmond on independence?

Why aren’t SNP voters backing Salmond on independence?

Comments 0 Comment

What happens if defeat looks certain? One electoral fact that hasn’t been given much attention is that the SNP’S vote share in the Scottish council elections on May 3rd was 13% down on what Salmond’s party secured a year earlier in the Holyrood elections. In 2011 it was 45% while in 2012 it was 32%. Not only did the SNP fail to take its much hyped key target of Glasgow it saw the city’s council move back to Labour overall…

Read More Read More

Is this the man who should be in Number 11 ?

Is this the man who should be in Number 11 ?

Comments 0 Comment

The economic and political narrative has changed markedly for the government since the budget, and deteriorated further when it was officially declared that we were in a double dip recession. Last night’s u-turns on pasties and caravans have added to that poor narrative (Pasty la vista, Taxman as The Sun’s front page put it) The ComRes polling last night also shows Osborne’s problem Some 72 per cent of the public agree that it is time for the Coalition to change its policy…

Read More Read More

Labour lead down to 8 with ComRes phone poll

Labour lead down to 8 with ComRes phone poll

Comments 0 Comment

Conservatives 34 (+1) Labour 42 (-1) Lib Dems 11 (nc) Others 13 (nc) The changes are from the last ComRes telephone poll which was carried out in March. There is a large gender gap: 40 per cent of male voters will vote Conservative, 39 per cent  Labour and 8 per cent Lib Dem. But only 29 per cent of women voters  will vote Conservative, while 45 per cent  will vote Labour, and 14 per cent Lib Dem. On the economy. Seven…

Read More Read More

Markets on Greece

Markets on Greece

Comments 0 Comment

IG have put up a couple of markets in the past week regarding Greece. The bets can be located in their binary betting market section. TSE Note: Mike Smithson is on holiday until June 7th.