What are the chances of the next election being fought on the new boundaries?

What are the chances of the next election being fought on the new boundaries?

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What is your assessment of the chances of the next general election being fought on the new boundaries? A 0-20% chance 21-40% 41-60% 61-80% 81-100%      Will the blues get their 20 seat bonus? There’s one issue that’s going to dominate politics over the next year or so following last week’s Tory backbench rebellion on the government’s Lords reform plan. By October 2013 the planned boundary changes for the 2015 general election will have been finalised and it will…

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Dave’s majority challenge 2 – leadership ratings

Dave’s majority challenge 2 – leadership ratings

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On Jan 20 2012 Dave was 50% ahead of Miliband in the YouGov leadership ratings.Today he is 4% behind — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012 Ed Miliband’s YouGov leadership rating is a net minus 21 which is 4% ahead of Cameron on minus 25 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012 Miliband’s YouGov rating of minus 21% is his best since August 2011 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012 Clegg drops to lowest ever level in YouGov’s leadership…

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Will it be at least a generation before we see a coalition again?

Will it be at least a generation before we see a coalition again?

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YouGov: Just 5% of Tory voters and 11% of Lib Dems want the coalition to continue beyond the election. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 14, 2012 YouGov: 27% of CON voters &13% of LD ones say they would like the coalition to end immediately — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 14, 2012 53% of CON voters and 41% of LDs tell YouGov that they want the coalition to end at some point before the general election. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July…

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How serious are the Bain attacks for Romney?

How serious are the Bain attacks for Romney?

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Don’t worry, Republicans. The RNC isn’t for another six weeks. Plenty of time to find a new nominee. — Richard Adams (@RichardA) July 13, 2012 Could they even impact on the nomination? About six weeks ago David Herson had a post here under the heading “Is it worth taking out Mitt insurance?”. In it he looked at the possibility of Romney not making it and posed the question of whether Romney punters should cash in their winnings. Since then, of…

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How does Cameron finesse the Lords Reform standoff?

How does Cameron finesse the Lords Reform standoff?

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And can he stop intra-coalition spats becoming more frequent? No-one said government was easy, and coalition governments bring even more challenges for their leadership. This week’s substantial Tory backbench rebellion on Lords reform and consequent government concession on the timetable was another sign of the increasing fractiousness within the Tory-Lib Dem coalition, as was the inevitable response from disgruntled Lib Dems. The immediate problem for the government is how it can hold good to its implied commitment within the Coalition…

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Whose bright idea was elected Police and Crime Commissioners?

Whose bright idea was elected Police and Crime Commissioners?

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Henry G Manson on November’s elections I’m increasingly concerned about the police commissioner elections. As Michael Crick explains the legal requirements are so stringent that even Falklands hero Simon Weston is unable to stand. Despite being one of Britain’s best known veterans the fact that he broke the law as a minor and as such had a criminal record. Crick believes that under legislation last year anyone with a record will be open to legal challenge. If this is the…

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