On Jan 20 2012 Dave was 50% ahead of Miliband in the YouGov leadership ratings.Today he is 4% behind

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012

Ed Miliband’s YouGov leadership rating is a net minus 21 which is 4% ahead of Cameron on minus 25

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012

Miliband’s YouGov rating of minus 21% is his best since August 2011

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012

Clegg drops to lowest ever level in YouGov’s leadership ratings. 16% say he’s doing well to 75% saying badly

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 15, 2012

Can the blues no longer rely on Ed’s numbers?

For a long period one of the great comfort factors for the blues has been that whatever the voting figures were saying Dave had much better leadership ratings

Thus almost exactly 6 months ago Cameron’s net numbers with YouGov were 50 points better than Ed’s. The gap seemed insurmountable.

Today figures for the Sunday Times have Ed a net 4% ahead.

The Tweets above set out the main headlines from the poll. Clegg drops to a new low but it’s the Dave-Ed battle that will be the best pointer to the election.

My sense is that EdM has a long way to go before he ever has a big advantage on these ratings but he has overcome a negative

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB