Guest slot by David Lenton. Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the last 12 months then I’m sure you’ve heard of Julian Assange – you know that kinda weird looking guy from Wiki Leaks? Anyway in what can only be described as a self serving publicity stunt online bookmaker Stan James have decided it’s time to open up two betting markets surrounding Ecuador’s latest and greatest. How Will Assange Leave The Ecuadorian Embassy? The first of the two…
All the focus should be on the LD undecideds For me the most significant polling data that we’ve had since the 2010 general election was the 1,500 sized sample Ashcroft phone poll of Corby voters ahead of the Westminster by-election due to take place in November. This was in one of the seats that the Tories won in 2010 and which they have to hang onto and more if they have any hope winning a majority. The poll came out…
Why Electoral College bands are not created equal State 2008 lead     Poll average     Elec College Votes   Cumulative ECV Nevada 12.5 5 6 243 Wisconsin 13.9 3.5 10 253 New Hampshire 9.6 3.5 4 257 Ohio 4.6 1.8 18 275 Iowa 9.5 1 6 281 Colorado 9 1 9 290 Virginia 6.3 1 13 303 Florida 2.8 1 29 332 North Carolina 0.3 -1 15 347 Missouri -0.1 -6.3 10 357 Montana…
Home of the web’s best political conversation As Frankie said, Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s political events. If you’ve always been a lurker why not join in tonight? A round up on today’s events. ComRes have some polling on the economy Following on from this morning’s thread, Ladbrokes have a market on whether some members of the cabinet will still be in the cabinet on the 1st of October.
Guest slot by Financier. “For those immediate years of post-war austerity and exhaustion, still on rations as we watched our global empire unravel, birthed a national narrative that endured, with the odd interruption, for more than six decades. It is a story of decline, of Britain as a nation, once glorious, now reduced to a tired marginality, bobbing around in the Atlantic, stuck between Europe and a superpower United States.”  – Jonathan Freedland, The Guardian, 11th of August 2012. Recently, Defence…
The Guardian is reporting that Kenneth Clarke is fighting to keep his cabinet post. This would appear to be a response to the a story in The Sunday Telegraph, which had a Tory MP on the right saying “Ken must accept he has had his day and it is time to move on. We must send out to voters a coherent and tough message on law and order and we are not doing that at the moment. It is not for nothing Ken is…
Welcome once again to PB’s overnight open thread in the relaxing atmosphere of the PB NightHawks cafe.