I think that Kellner is right The chart shows the changing prices on the Conservative Party and Labour winning an overall majority at the next general election. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
Following on from the first Presidential Debate, we’ve started seeing the first post debate polling emerging and other interesting snippets which could have an impact on the outcome. On the polling, the Real Clear Politics average is now Obama 48.4% and Romney at 47%. Other polling A new poll in Colorado released Sunday indicates President Barack Obama has a narrow advantage over Republican nominee Mitt Romney among likely voters in the state. Despite Obama’s advantage, the poll also shows Colorado…
David Cameron has launched a twitter account. He has already received abuse. His twitter bio says Official profile of David Cameron, Leader of the Conservative Party & Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Account run by David Cameron and @conservatives team David Cameron will be hoping his previous comments about twitter, don’t come back to haunt him. Ladbrokes have a market up on David Cameron’s twitter account. I’ve backed that he’ll follow any account affiliated to a Labour politician/official Labour account by…
YouGov have the VI as Con 31%, Lab 45%, LD 8%, UKIP 8%. But the big news from yougov, which sees Ed’s net leadership ratings improve from last week’s minus 29%, to minus 9% this week. The normal caveats about polling during Conferences should be remembered, but Labour and Ed should be delighted by his 20% shift in the leadership ratings. If this were to be repeated with MORI, then Ed and Labour supporters will be extremely reassured. David Cameron…
Today, is the fifth anniversary of Gordon Brown’s decision not to hold an election in the autumn of 2007. It was a very interesting time for anyone interested in politics or betting. We had a Labour MP writing an article predicting ‘Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority’ Labour spent a reported one million pounds for an election that never happened. Lord Kinnock’s intervention during the Labour conference, where he  explaining why he wanted Labour to…
David Herdson asks Was his debate win a launch-pad or his last hurrah? After a gaffe-prone September, Mitt Romney desperately needed a good performance in the first of the presidential debates to be in with a chance of winning. Had Obama scored a clear victory, it’s likely that not only would the polls, which had already been moving in the president’s favour, have continued that trend but also that with the momentum so strongly running against Romney, Republican campaign funds may…