The top post of the year – the nomination stage Each year at this time it has been traditional to hold an election for the poster of the year. This time it will operate somewhat differently – which of the 400,000+ comments published on PB during 2012 stand out for their political insight, their humour or were the best betting tips? If you can please copy and paste your nominations on the thread below. You can self-nominate and there is…
YouGov finds views of Andrew Mitchell splitting on party lines.See table twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 23, 2012
The narrative is running strongly in his favour Yesterday afternoon and evening I reinvested some of the money I’d made on two Andrew Mitchell bets from the autumn on him becoming the next Tory leader. I got prices up to 70/1 on Betfair. I’d already made a bit on him in the cabinet exit betting when he was switched in the September re-shuffle to Chief Whip – a post that is not formally a member of the cabinet. Then my…
We still don’t have the final results from all the states and we can’t yet settle the competition. The big problem is the state of New York which could have final results that push this even further to Obama. Currently, according to the excellent spreadsheet being maintained by Andy JS, Obama is on 50.97% to Romney 47.29%. The three prizes go to those who get the final gap closest to two decimal points. These are the entrants that look good…
David Herdsonwonders how serious Obama really is about gun control. www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=54996 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 22, 2012 How serious is he about gun law reform? Barack Obama’s response to the dreadful murders in Newtown, Connecticut – that something must be done – could well make the contest to reform of gun laws the defining political battle of his second term, just as healthcare was in his first. It will not be a battle easily undertaken and certainly not…
The Mitchell affair could start to get messy for Cameron.See Indy front page twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 21, 2012 David Davis and Andrew Mitchell are a formidable pair Mike Smithson 033 For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
Is Cameron’s task being made harder by the splits? Would the Tories win more seats at the General Election if rebellious back-benchers kept quiet for the next 29 months? YES – voters are more reluctant to support parties that appear split NO – the issues over which rebellions have taken place are too important for Tory MPs to be silent It makes no difference
Henry G Manson writes in Praise of Tory MP Robert Halfon Last Christmas I took up the challenge of writing in praise of a Conservative MP I admire. As part of last year’s season of goodwill I chose David Davis This year I am taking my Santa’s hat off to Harlow’s Conservative MP Robert Halfon. Bob is defending a 4,925 majority but could prove to be very difficult for Labour shift for good reason. Halfon is a truly campaigning MP….