Home of the web’s best political conversation Come in and talk about what you want It’s been a long time since we’ve had the PB NightHawks Cafe – so I thought we should revive. This is the place for the relaxed overnight conversation. Even if you’ve never posted before you are invited to join in. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB
YouGov data confirms perceptions about Ukip supporters YouGov has put out some aggregate data from its February polling about those members of its online panel telling the firm that they will vote Ukip at the next election. The picture is broadly what we knew: Ukip voters are more likely to be older, male, and to be likely to havw finished their education at 15/16. They are also more likely to have an annual household income of less than £40,000. In…
Only Osborne of potential Cameron alternatives polls worse than Michael Gove – yet he’s is 8/1 2nd betting favourite twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 5, 2013 He’s simply too unpopular with Tory voters The above is taken from the latest Sunday Times YouGov survey and was one of a number of findings in the poll that raises question marks over whether Michael Gove could be a serious contender to replace Dave. Although the question format is not one I’m…
If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Round up latest #GE2015 overall majority betting twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2013 Above table is from JustBookies which has a wide range of information and offers for punters.
LAB has “best policies” on Europe according to new Ipsos-MORI poll. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2013 And 28% of of GE2010 CON voters say Ukip’s got best policies Just 48% of #GE2010 CON voters told Ipsos-MORI that their party has best policies on Europe. Worryingly for the blues 28% said Ukip. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2013
David Cameron channels his inner Lady Thatcher twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEPB (@TSEofPB) March 3, 2013 Writing in the Sunday Telegraph, David Cameron, says “There has been a barrage of advice this weekend following the Eastleigh by-election” he explains what he will do. The Sunday Telegraph also have a selection of activists, MPs and academics in and around the Conservative Party telling what went wrong at Eastleigh, and what the Tories need to do now if they are to form the next…
In case you didn’t notice there was a by-election the other day in Eastleigh, and UKIP did rather well (as did some of our punters). So now is the time to glance ahead at the markets for UKIP at the next general election, namely whether they will win a seat, and their percentage of the overall vote. There’s been quite a colourful cast of parties who’ve had an election night triumph somewhere at sometime: Communists, Respect, Green, the Common Wealth…
Strorm clouds over Westminster via @edwarddocx twitter.com/EdwardDocx/sta… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 3, 2013 The fundamentals that the by-election raises The outcome in the early hours of Friday morning prompts a reflection which should cause some discomfort across most of the political spectrum. Is it actually a feasible project for what Cameron has called “compassionate Conservatism” to win a majority? To discuss this, we don’t need to get into the debate whether Cameron is sincere or merely posing to attract…