Yes he Khan – Sadiq’s a great 33-1 bet for London Mayor

Yes he Khan – Sadiq’s a great 33-1 bet for London Mayor

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Sadiq Khan – Labour’s shadow minister for London twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2013 Henry G Manson on Labour’s possible 2016 London Mayoral candidate The Labour Party has wisely learned from the previous London selection and is not racing to select a Labour mayoral candidate soon after the defeat. However the next two years will be a great chance for aspiring candidates to jockey for position and give themselves the best chance of success. Labour is currently 8/11…

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First post-budget poll sees CON up 2 and Ukip down 2 – but all changes within margin of error

First post-budget poll sees CON up 2 and Ukip down 2 – but all changes within margin of error

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CON up 2, Ukip down 2 in first post-budget daily poll but otherwise very little change. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2013 We’ve just got the first post-budget voting figures from YouGov which are all within the margin of error. Only change on yesterday is CON up 2 with Ukip down 2. If the blue hope was that the budget would be a game-changer there is no sign of it yet. No doubt there’ll be lots of new…

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It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

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Adeyfield West on Dacorum (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2011): Con 43, Lib Dem 6, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 35) Last Election (2011): Con 1,213 (43%) Lab  1,203 (43%) Lib Dem 413 (15%)   There are several councils across the United Kingdom whose names do not give you much of a clue as to where they are in the world. For instance, just where is Babergh in East Anglia, does anyone know where the Vale of the White Horse…

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About to change our commenting system…

About to change our commenting system…

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It’s highly likely there will be problems with the new system. Please feel free to vent your frustrations in the thread below. Also: I will only be migrating the old comments over later. So, for now we’re likely to have an empty / shiny / new comment system. Thanks, Robert

Marf on the budget aftermath and GE2015 betting prospects

Marf on the budget aftermath and GE2015 betting prospects

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Site notice. There is likely to be some down-time today with the site We are doing a major upgrade as well as experimenting with the comments system. How the betting markets see GE2015 Betfair punters make LAB overall majority 43.9% fav for #GE205 . Hung parliament: 35.5%. Table based on last trades. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Where the money is going on #Eastleigh for #GE2015. Oddschecker chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013

The Tories take to Twitter in an ingenious “poster” campaign

The Tories take to Twitter in an ingenious “poster” campaign

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The Tories have launched a Twitter poster campaign using 6 Budget plans.Not sure that Aspiration Nation quite works twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Another of the Tory Twitter posters based on a Budget proposal -this on the help for new home buyers twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Will George’s budget be a narrative changer? Featured above are 2 of 6 Tory Twitter ads that have been issued overnight. This is quite an interesting way…

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The big question is whether this can help the Tories get back into the race

The big question is whether this can help the Tories get back into the race

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The best thing for the Tories and Osborne is that Budget 2013 was not the #omnishambles of last year. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2013 After last year’s debacle the most important thing you can say is that Osborne has not done himself or his party any harm by today’s statement. There were just enough goodies shared out amongst key interest groups that Osborne has made as good a job as he could with the few options that…

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