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As the EU referendum bill is published new YouGov polling raises questions about the salience of Europe as an issue

19/6/2013 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Today's issues tracker from YouGov sees just 32% of UKIP voters saying Europe is one of top 3 issues facing country. pic.twitter.com/20GmVJ8or4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 19, 2013 Is the bill really going to stop the seepage to Farageâ€™s party? Today sees the publication of the EU referendum bill and, coincidentally the latest issues tracker from YouGov which unlike Ipsos-MORI does prompt when asking respondents to name the important areas of concern. The detailed breakdown is in the YouGov…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

18/6/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Home of the webâ€™s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the dayâ€™s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, you’re on the Edge of Heaven, why not enter heaven tonight and delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Tories win over Generation Y while losing touch with older voters,Â David Cameron’s stress on individual responsibility plus a firm…

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Latest Next Prime Minister betting

18/6/2013 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

EdM odds-on: Theresa & Boris joint 2nd Boris & Theresa May now 12/1 joint 2nd favourites to be next PM. EdM 8/11 favourite. http://t.co/5ytVwnI62K See pic.twitter.com/YiclNEMU6b — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 18, 2013 @MSmithsonPB interesting that if those 12 names two are brothers, two are married and three were in the bullingdon club together #we'recrap — Mr Thompson (@FeastSpectre) June 18, 2013

Michael Gove’s flagship educational policies could turn out to be a GE2015 liability not an asset

18/6/2013 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Latest YouGov "best on Schools & Education" ratings point to Gove's policies being a driver of LD > LAB switching pic.twitter.com/ZiTIbhgPKw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 18, 2013 2010 LD voters give LAB a 22% lead on the issue Whenever there is any polling involving the coalition’s education policies or Michael Gove personally the key swing group of voters next time, 2010 Lib Dems, appear to be taking a hostile view. Today we have YouGov’s regular ratings on the best…

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PB Nighthawks is open

17/6/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Home of the webâ€™s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the dayâ€™s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not delurk tonight, it will be a Red Letter Day the day you post for the first time. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Hopi Sen asks,Â Labourâ€™s polling softening: Whatâ€™s behind it, and does it matter? Remember how…

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With a reshuffle said to be in the offing it’s time to look again at Cabinet exit betting.

17/6/2013 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Who is going to get the chop? With a reshuffle likely in July Justine Greening moves to favourite slot at Ladbrokes for next cabinet exit. pic.twitter.com/OqdpzI8Hl1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 17, 2013 If more than one cabinet leaves on the same Ladbrokes operate their dead heat rules. Thus if three of the 23 members settlement would be based on a third of your stake at the odds that you originally got. The art here is to spot a long…

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The LAB-CON marginals: How Lib Dem non-targeting could help Labour

17/6/2013 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Another headache for Grant Shapps There’s a wide awareness of the fact that the Lib Dems, who chalked up 24% of the GB vote in 2010, will be putting 100% of their efforts into no more than 75 seats – the 57 they are defending and a few more where they think they are in with a shout. All the focus has been on what this will do in the LD battlegrounds but it could also make a big difference…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

16/6/2013 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Home of the webâ€™s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the dayâ€™s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not Take That opportunity which Nighthawks gives you to delurk. It Only Takes A Minute to post, Never Forget, we were all lurkers once. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Steve Richards says, both Labour and the Tories…

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