EdM odds-on: Theresa & Boris joint 2nd Boris & Theresa May now 12/1 joint 2nd favourites to be next PM. EdM 8/11 favourite. http://t.co/5ytVwnI62K See pic.twitter.com/YiclNEMU6b — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 18, 2013 @MSmithsonPB interesting that if those 12 names two are brothers, two are married and three were in the bullingdon club together #we'recrap — Mr Thompson (@FeastSpectre) June 18, 2013
Latest YouGov "best on Schools & Education" ratings point to Gove's policies being a driver of LD > LAB switching pic.twitter.com/ZiTIbhgPKw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 18, 2013 2010 LD voters give LAB a 22% lead on the issue Whenever there is any polling involving the coalition’s education policies or Michael Gove personally the key swing group of voters next time, 2010 Lib Dems, appear to be taking a hostile view. Today we have YouGov’s regular ratings on the best…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not delurk tonight, it will be a Red Letter Day the day you post for the first time. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Hopi Sen asks, Labour’s polling softening: What’s behind it, and does it matter? Remember how…
Who is going to get the chop? With a reshuffle likely in July Justine Greening moves to favourite slot at Ladbrokes for next cabinet exit. pic.twitter.com/OqdpzI8Hl1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 17, 2013 If more than one cabinet leaves on the same Ladbrokes operate their dead heat rules. Thus if three of the 23 members settlement would be based on a third of your stake at the odds that you originally got. The art here is to spot a long…
Another headache for Grant Shapps There’s a wide awareness of the fact that the Lib Dems, who chalked up 24% of the GB vote in 2010, will be putting 100% of their efforts into no more than 75 seats – the 57 they are defending and a few more where they think they are in with a shout. All the focus has been on what this will do in the LD battlegrounds but it could also make a big difference…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not Take That opportunity which Nighthawks gives you to delurk. It Only Takes A Minute to post, Never Forget, we were all lurkers once. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Steve Richards says, both Labour and the Tories…
He suggests LAB would go for minority government if it fell short Last July I got a three figure sum on at Hills at 12/1 that GE2015 could produce another hung parliament but the largest party would would try to govern on its own without a coalition. My argument at the time was that I cannot see either the Tories or the Lib Dems wanting to enter into another coalition because there’s too much bad blood on both sides. My…
Latest favourable/unfavourable ratings from ComRes online see Balls ahead of Osborne & LAB ahead CON. Dave/EdM = pic.twitter.com/h94WiXZOCw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 Well done to ComRes for sticking with favourable/unfavourable ratings which are widely used in US and which I regard as best format. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 On voting intentions CON slip sees LAB extend ComRes lead LAB extends leader in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror Con 26% (-3) Lab 35% (0) UKIP…