Betting on the Lib Dems getting 14% or higher with YouGov this year

Betting on the Lib Dems getting 14% or higher with YouGov this year

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Paddy Power have a market up on whether The Lib Dems will poll 14% or higher with YouGov this year. Paddy Power betting on whether the LDs will poll 14% or higher with YouGov in 2013 pic.twitter.com/QgsnvV6s9j — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013 The last time the Lib Dems polled higher than 14% with YouGov was when they polled 15% back in September 2010. The highest they have polled this year is 13% (twice) which was back in March. This…

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This Morning’s YouGov

This Morning’s YouGov

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Sun/YouGov Poll Con 33% (+2) Lab 40% (-1) LD 9% (nc) UKIP 12%(-1) Changes since last pre Syria poll Con nc, Lab +3, LD -1, UKIP nc — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013 Labour will be happy with another poll showing them in the 40s. The Conservatives are back to their share of the vote being where it was prior to the Syria vote and see the Labour lead back to the single figure scores it has been for the…

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ComRes Phone Poll Out

ComRes Phone Poll Out

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Labour increases its lead, from three points to six points.     The fieldwork dates were between Friday the 30th August and Sunday the 1st September 2013, ComRes interviewed 1,000 British adults by telephone, so all post the Government defeat on Syria. Other salient points from the poll This is another poll showing Labour’s share of the vote in the 36%-40% range. For the first time since December 2012 the Lib Dems are ahead of UKIP in a ComRes phone poll. As…

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Indy ref polling round up

Indy ref polling round up

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In the last 24 hours or so, a couple of polls have been released on the Scottish Independence Referendum, one with a large lead for the no side, and one with a lead for the yes side, so how to make sense of this, First up was a YouGov poll for Devo Plus. Indy Ref polling YouGov/Devo Plus Yes to Independence 29 (nc) No to Independence 59 (+4) Changes since last YouGov poll in October 2012 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2013   In…

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Populus Poll out

Populus Poll out

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    The fieldwork was post the Syria debate vote, Friday to Sunday inclusive. So two out of the three polls conducted in the aftermath of the defeat for the Government has shown no discernible change in VI, hopefully we shall see some more polling in the next few days, which will help us determine whether the YouGov was the harbinger of a period of increased Labour leads, or just an outlier. TSE

The Next Foreign Secretary betting

The Next Foreign Secretary betting

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Following on from the House of Commons vote on military action in Syria, Labour sources claimed that William Hague, the Foreign Secretary, was “very, very angry” and threatened to quit over David Cameron’s decision to go straight to a parliamentary vote. Based on Yes, Minister’s first rule of politics: never believe anything until it’s been officially denied, the value may have gone out of backing Hague as next out of the cabinet, where he is currently favourite at 5/1, it…

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Sean Fear – a great loss for the Tories and a great catch for UKIP

Sean Fear – a great loss for the Tories and a great catch for UKIP

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One thing that Sean isn’t is a “fruit-cake” On one of the Syrian threads last week long-standing PB regular, Sean Fear, announced that he’d switched from the Tories to UKIP. Sean’s relationship with the site is a long one. Back in 2004 he became just about the first regular Tory poster here at a time when the threads were totally dominated dominated by Labour supporters. He built up a great reputation for his courtesy, his detailed knowledge of elections and…

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YouGov polling round up

YouGov polling round up

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The YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is out. YouGov Sunday Times Poll, Labour gets it first double digit lead since 12/7 Con 31 Lab 41 Lib Dem 9 UKIP 13 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013 YouGov changes compared with last poll take pre-Syrian vote Con -2 Lab +4 Lib Dems -1 UKIP +1 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013   As ever, this is one poll, we need to see more polling to see if this is an outlier or the…

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