Paddy Power have a market up on whether The Lib Dems will poll 14% or higher with YouGov this year.
Paddy Power betting on whether the LDs will poll 14% or higher with YouGov in 2013 pic.twitter.com/QgsnvV6s9j
— TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013
The last time the Lib Dems polled higher than 14% with YouGov was when they polled 15% back in September 2010.
The highest they have polled this year is 13% (twice) which was back in March.
This year their average poll score with YouGov is 10.46%, out of the 169 YouGov polls this year, the Lib Dems have polled in double digits in 144 of them.
The below is chart showing the monthly average of the Lib Dem share of the vote with YouGov this year.
By my reckoning there are approximately 80 or so more YouGov polls due by the end of the year, and I’ve backed that the Lib Dems wont poll higher than 14% this year with YouGov