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Amongst all giving a voting intention LAB was 5% ahead See chart pic.twitter.com/8GuTYRRqlH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 All leaders see satisfactions ratings boost In the Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings all see net increase. Ed now has better net figures than Dave See pic.twitter.com/pxJrTbav30 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 EdM sees net 34% uplift in Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings amongst LAB voters See chart pic.twitter.com/hvZFhFYIEJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2013 Ipsos-MORI finds that of all the new…

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Eight years of decontamination have produced almost no serious change to the Tory brand http://t.co/FDqqmQ0KgA — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) October 17, 2013 What does this say about Dave’s decontamination project? Very interesting new YouGov polling out this morning for the Times on what voters think would be more or less likely to happen if the Tories won an overall majority. The views on immigration count against the Lib Dem while the view on tax cuts are helpful to them. Mike…

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How the public responded in poll just after Crick’s report Who the public thought was telling lies on Plebgate from Dec 2012 See table pic.twitter.com/RWH8PUeCKI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2013

LAB YouGov/Sun daily poll lead back up to 5%. It was 1% yesterday LAB+1, 39% CON-3, 34% UKIP+1,11% LD-1, 9%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 15, 2013 After yesterday’s YouGov daily poll which saw the Tories at their highest level since the March 2012 budget things are back to “normal” this morning. Looking at the detailed data today’s poll shows a more balanced sample with less need to scale up those demographic segments which varied from the target. Generally outliers are more likely…

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Ladbrokes Deputy Speaker 11/8 Laing 3/1 Streeter 4/1 Bellingham 5/1 Burns 8/1 Binley 20/1 Amess 33/1 Dorries pic.twitter.com/XvR30Ci4Zy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 15, 2013 I can’t get excited about the election of the new deputy speaker to replace Nigel Evans. Usually I like to bet based on some knowledge and detailed analysis. On this one, frankly, I don’t know. The favourite is Eleanor Laing who I met when she chaired a session I was speaking at at the CON conference in October 2009. I liked…

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