A narrowing lead or normal variation within margin of error?
The Tory share of 37% is the best for the party since March 16 2012 a few days before the budget which seemed set off the decline.
Four weeks ago YouGov had the two parties level-pegging. Ten days later LAB had an 11% lead.
37% is also what the party secured at GE2010 which in view of the austerity measures is quite remarkable.
As yet I have not seen the detailed data to see if there were sampling issues which might be an explanation. I will update this post when that is available.
If this is sustained and supported by other polling then GE2015 could be a lot closer than many had thought.