Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you Wannabe a poster, Stop, lurking, Spice Up Your Life by delurking. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) 8 reasons Labour has a good chance of an overall majority 5 ways to cheer up the Tories (and kill off the ‘nasty party’) Asking Conservatives to…
Jessica Lee MP steps down: 11 per cent of Tory women elected in 2010 have decided to leave Parliament http://t.co/ksnr5xNqYQ — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) January 21, 2014 This looks problematic for the Tories The percentages in the CONHome article look quite stark particularly as this comes a week when women in politics have been under the spotlight. The fact that it refers just four puts it into a slightly different context. Clearly the reality of becoming an MP has not…
In a crisis go for the grey haired man I’ve been getting a number of requests for my view on whether Clegg will survive the Rennard crisis and what my thoughts are on a likely successor. Certainly what appears to be open warfare between LD peers and the leadership together with the threatened legal action by Rennard make this a tricky period for Clegg. There might be factions who’ve never been supporters who could use the issue to try to…
Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’ve you had a Blue Monday, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, and you’re thinking of delurking why not delurk tonight, I have, True Faith, in your ability to make a contribution. You’ll set a new World In Motion for yourselves, when you start posting.  you’ll find if you don’t delurk, you’ll, Regret, it. The round up of recent…
Betting on who’ll win outright See where the money has been going in the Wythenshawe betting. Best LAB price now 1/9 pic.twitter.com/7GU7JKsCM9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 Betting on the runner-up Ukip now 2/5 favourite to come 2nd in Wythenshawe. See where money has been going pic.twitter.com/TSmOjIj8tK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2014 With the Wythenshawe by-election expected to take place in mid-February all the attention is now on who’ll get selected for Labour and UKIP. Clearly,…
Nigel, Nick and Ed are all seen less favourably than theirs A very big part of US polling that we see rarely in the UK are favourability ratings. Questioning such as “Do you have a favourable/unfavourable view of Obama/Democrats/Congress/ etc” have been part and parcel of US polling data for years. Yet surprisingly we rarely see such numbers in the UK. This weekend the ComRes online poll did ask these questions of the four party leaders and their parties and…
But YouGov’s 8% for the LDs signals problems over Rennard Very irritatingly Opinium don’t publish their full dataset until after the weekend so we have yet to see the firm’s fortnightly leader approval ratings and a Euro election poll that they carried out. Almost all the other firms, bar ICM, now have near instantaneous publication of the detailed data as soon as headline numbers are released. Opinium should get their act together. They are the only firm to carry out…