Opinium sees Labour’s support fall to lowest level since 2010 election

Opinium sees Labour’s support fall to lowest level since 2010 election

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LAB down to just 33% in tonight's Opinium poll for the Observer – the lowest level since GE2010. CON 1% behind — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2014 Tonight's Opinium poll for the Observer with LAB 1% means that all the firms reporting since the budget have the gap narrowing — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2014 Chart showing Opinium polls since 2010 pic.twitter.com/ywRkMy0YlP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2014   The Observer article can be found here. TSE

How Nigel and Nick squared up against each other in the week’s other YouGov polling

How Nigel and Nick squared up against each other in the week’s other YouGov polling

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Although the fieldwork took place last month this only appeared on YouGov’s website yesterday. NOTE: I’m out this evening and will not be posting tonight surveys until later. As well as YouGov I’m expecting Opinium for the Observer which has some interesting tactical voting questions. The sample was asked if people were voting for a party or against one and, if so, which. Mike Smithson Ranked in top 33 most influential over 50s on Twitter Follow @MSmithsonPB

It’s time for the Tories to embrace PR

It’s time for the Tories to embrace PR

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FPTP is no longer in either the country’s or the Conservatives’ interests It is unusual for governments to schedule and highlight their splits in advance.  However, three years ago, the Coalition launched into a bout of premeditated infighting from which it has never really recovered.  It was entirely unnecessary on any number of levels.  The event was of course the AV referendum. Why was it unnecessary?  Because it was obvious that the result would prompt recrimination and bitterness on whichever…

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YouGov polling blow for the man Ladbrokes make the 5-1 second favourite to be Dave’s successor

YouGov polling blow for the man Ladbrokes make the 5-1 second favourite to be Dave’s successor

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Osbo trailed behind behind EdM, Boris, Clegg, Farage & even Balls Although the fieldwork took place earlier in the month and before the budget it was only this week that YouGov put up the above polling on their site. The question about how well suited X is to becoming PM is an interesting one which I can’t recall seeing before. The sample was asked for their views for each of those named in turn so it wasn’t an either/or type…

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Local By-Election Results: March 27th 2014

Local By-Election Results: March 27th 2014

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Stone on Dartford (Labour Defence) Result: Lab 426 (38%), Con 397 (35%), UKIP 307 (27%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 29 (3%) Kilmarnock North on East Ayrshire (Scottish National Party defence) First Preferences Result: SNP 1,334 (45% -8%), Lab 1,130 (38% +2%), Con 430 (15% +4%), Green 61 (2%) Scottish National Party HOLD (elected on the fourth count) on a swing of 5% from SNP to Labour St. John’s on Fylde (Independent defence) Result: Flyde Ratepayers 804 (66%), Con…

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LAB drops 4 in new YouGov Euros poll putting CON to within 4 percent

LAB drops 4 in new YouGov Euros poll putting CON to within 4 percent

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The May 22 Euros are looking like a three horse race Two worrying polls for LAB overnight. The latest YouGov GE 2015 poll has the gap down to 1% once again with LAB at 36% – it’s lowest for a long time. Meanwhile, with less than 8 weeks to go until the May Euros, there’s another blow for LAB. The party is down 4% on two weeks ago while UKIP jump 3 to 26%. This means that three parties are…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 27th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : March 27th 2014

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Stone on Dartford (Labour Defence) Result of last election to council (2011): Conservatives 31, Labour 9, Independents 4 (Conservative majority of 18) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 713, 588, 544 Labour 642, 609, 560 English Democrats 192 Candidates duly nominated: Jim Moore (UKIP), Catherine Stafford (Lab), Stephanie Thredgle (Con) Kilmarnock North on East Ayrshire (Scottish National Party defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Scottish National Party 15, Labour 14, Conservatives 2, Independent…

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Murdoch predicts LAB victory at GE2015

Murdoch predicts LAB victory at GE2015

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UKIP,Farage still making progress. Without a deal Cameron will be dead meat after 2015 elections. Prepare for Radical Labour. — Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) March 27, 2014 It’s hard to argue with his reasoning This is where the current UKIP vote is coming from. The idea that the purples are taking as many votes from LAB as CON is a nonsense. UKIP hurts the Tories far more than any other party as can be seen from the chart based on the…

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