William Hills http://t.co/xwjAlkObCQ make it 4/7 UKIP won't win a seat at GE2015 Indy story http://t.co/si9chPFuF2 pic.twitter.com/IEfn7UNfeW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2014 Farage’s achilles heel: UKIP’s the least liked & most disliked party Mike Smithson Ranked in top 33 most influential over 50s on Twitter Follow @MSmithsonPB
Latest Ladbrokes http://t.co/5ytVwnr30K Euro elections betting. LDs to get 3+ seats now 7/4 in from 7/2 pic.twitter.com/FrCaMqlBmj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2014 The yellows are getting betting support on 3+ seats My view of yesterday’s news about the breakaway anti-EU party at the Euro elections remains. Unless the official UKIP legal challenge succeeds I believe it will impact on its performance on May 22nd. The question is how much? When I first saw the South West England ballot…
The latest information 68 councils intend to count overnight and 93 to start counting on Friday. So all the fun will come on the Friday. The Euro election count is on the Sunday right across the EU.
CORRECTION and APOLOGY The screenshot of UKIP PEB I Tweeted earlier was of a 2013 election broadcast. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 23, 2014
It is top of the ballot in all 9 English regions Back at the 1994 European Elections the Lib Dems thought that had lost in the South West region because a party calling itself “The Literal Democrats” syphoned off support that the party believe should have gone to them. This led to a celebrated court case which the Yellows lost. I wonder what today’s purples will make of this – the “An Independence from Europe party” that’s appeared on the…
The LDs back in double figures This morning’s Sun sees the first post holiday weekend Euros poll from YouGov and the only changes on the the last survey are all within the margin of error. LAB no change, UKIP and CON both down one with the LDs back up one at 10%. Clegg’s party will be relieved that the negative reaction to the debates with Farage seem to be fading and that a 10% share should not produce the wipe…
Usual location: Dirty Dicks pub opposite Liverpool Street station Thanks again to Fat Steve for making the arrangements.
The ComRes/Channel 4 focus group of 2010 LD>LAB switchers The first post-holiday weekend Populus poll has very little change though the LAB lead moves from 1% to 3% – all within the margin of error. LAB 36 +1, CON 33 -1, LD 10 +1, UKIP 13 -1. The poll also shows that 33% of 2010 LDs who voiced a voting intention said they had switched to LAB. Amongst all 2010 LDs, including don’t knows and wont’t votes, the proportion was…