The SNP is betting favourite to win in just 4 of the 41 LAB-held Scottish seats. See chart
However upbeat the Nats might appear they don’t seem ready to bet
Will Jim Murphy arrest Labour’s slide in the Scottish polls or will it get worse? Enter the competition
pic.twitter.com/Drgab0QAIL — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 14, 2014 What’s the December Record/Survation poll going to show? There’s little doubt that the biggest uncertainty about next May’s general election is what’s going to happen in the 41 seats that Labour currently holds in Scotland. If recent polling turns out to be right they could be left with barely half a dozen of them – an outcome that could have a catastrophic impact on the party’s hope to return to power. It…
Comres online poll sees the Blues up by 3 points
This month’s ComRes online poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror sees Labour’s lead reduced from 4% to 1%. It fits in with what we’ve seen in recent weeks and months with other pollsters, with there being very little between Tories and Labour, the Lib Dems will be delighted to see daylight between themselves and the Greens. Onto the supplementaries, Voters see the Conservatives as more right wing than the UK Independence Party. The poll asked people to…
Jim Murphy wins Scottish Labour leadership election with 56% of votes on first round
.@ScottishLabour will lead us to a fairer Scotland. #ScotLabLeader pic.twitter.com/KtdCauopFf — Jim Murphy (@jimmurphymp) December 13, 2014 Murphy: "You can't have social justice on George Osborne's levels of spending and tax." — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) December 13, 2014 Fighting acceptance speech showed why SNP didn't want @jimmurphymp to be Labour's leader in Scotland — Kevin Maguire (@Kevin_Maguire) December 13, 2014 I like the way in his first Tweet Murphy has shaped the battle with the SNP – is the prize…
As Scottish LAB prepares to unveil its new leader YouGov has the SNP 20% ahead
The impact this could have on overall GE2015 outcome If YouGov Scottish poll right LAB could lose 34 MPs which could seriously dent efforts to be top party — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2014 Remember YouGov’s much hyped poll before the IndyRef Eleven days before IndyRef YouGov’s Scottish panel had YES 2% ahead. NO won by 10.5% margin — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2014 Every single final poll before the Sept 18 IndyRef overstated YES and understated NO…
Local elections results. GAINs for Plaid Cymru & UKIP from Ind and for the LDs from LAB
South Kintyre on Argyll and Bute (SNP defence) Result: SNP 942 (62% +37%), Liberal Democrats 214 (14%, unchanged), Conservative 203 (13% -33%), Labour 156 (10%, no candidate last time) SNP HOLD on the first count with a majority of 728 (48%) on a swing of 18.5% from Lib Dem to SNP Gatehouse (Lib Dem defence) and Southcourt (Lab Defence) on Aylesbury Vale Gatehouse Result: Liberal Democrat 295 (36%), UKIP 267 (32%), Conservative 113 (14%), Labour 113 (14%), Green 28 (3%),…
Is there anybody brave enough to risk hard earned cash on what the next government will be?
See how Betfair punters are confused So what will be the next government. The betting markets are confused – see this from Betfair Exchange pic.twitter.com/CusNgGw31M — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 12, 2014 I’ve gone on any other.
The media narrative turns against the purples as the prospect of getting more MPs grows
FT (£) http://t.co/z0pxB8dVw1 reporting that UKIP at war over Neil Hamilton's pursuit of a seat. pic.twitter.com/iGTleyplR3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 12, 2014 Whatever happens over Hamilton it will be wrong The former Conservative MP for Tatton who lost out to Martin Bell in 1997 has been much in the news of late as he has tried to be selected for a winnable seat for UKIP at GE15. The latest development, according to a report on the FT’s front page,…