TV debates plan B+1. Is Number 10 going to agree this time?

TV debates plan B+1. Is Number 10 going to agree this time?

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The broadcasters put forward new proposals for TV debates which now include SNP/PC+GRN http://t.co/zz2jDu1TX4 pic.twitter.com/qDZuehEBXl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 22, 2015 Leaders Debates; Oi…What about me? — George Galloway (@georgegalloway) January 22, 2015 “broadcasters remain committed to providing election debates in #GE2015..we will continue to work with all the parties to ensure they happen — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) January 22, 2015 Seven participants is just too many Not long to go before the election campaign starts and this afternoon…

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To mark the Central European Bank’s massive QE programme a Marf cartoon

To mark the Central European Bank’s massive QE programme a Marf cartoon

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As the Central European Bank moves to go ahead with a massive QE Politicalbetting's, Marf, gives her take pic.twitter.com/GprXSkVcWl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 22, 2015 If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Polling UPDATE: TNS has LAB & CON level pegging LAB down 4 in latest TNS poll LAB 31% (-4), CON 31% (+3), UKIP 16% (-2), LIB DEM 8% (+2), GREEN 7% (+2), OTHER 7% (-2) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)…

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The joys of first past the post

The joys of first past the post

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If @LordAshcroft polling right LDs could get 6 times the MPs as UKIP & 30 times the Greens on = or lower national vote share — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2015 It’s winning seats that matters not building national vote totals

Why I’m now betting that Cameron will not appear in any leaders’ debate

Why I’m now betting that Cameron will not appear in any leaders’ debate

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ITV promotion 1st Debate April 2010 6/4 seems a good price on the PM not takink part On Monday I spent several hours in Westminster talking to key figures and attending the Robert Hayward briefing (see a previous post). One of the things I tried to get a sense of was the debates. Are these going to happen? The message I got was that those round Mr. Cameron are adamant that it is to the blue’s team’s advantage if the…

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Ipsos-MORI phone poll has SNP with 28% lead in Scotland

Ipsos-MORI phone poll has SNP with 28% lead in Scotland

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How STV is reporting its latest @IpsosMORI Scotland poll. http://t.co/yRmR2tpR5k pic.twitter.com/AlUAwPt6bs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2015 STV Ipsos-MORI phone poll in Scotland has SNP lead of 28% SNP 52% LAB 24% CON 12% LD 4% GRN 4% Murphy would lose — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2015 So three Scottish polls in four days SNP leads ranging from 10% to 28% – that is some difference — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2015 Are we seeing “shy unionists” like shy IndyRef NO voters? Would, I…

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Delaying till after the election the Chilcot report on Iraq is good news for Labour

Delaying till after the election the Chilcot report on Iraq is good news for Labour

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Marf on Clegg's assertion that Chilcot report on Iraq war being "sexed-down" pic.twitter.com/A6OuNgAACw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2015 Reminding voters of the conflict not good for the red team At PMQs today EdM opened by asserting that his party wants to Chilcot Inquire report to be published as soon as possible. Maybe but the he last thing, surely, that Labour wants in the run-up to May 7th is something to remind voters of the Iraq War although Ed…

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Oh the joy of being a swing voter in one of the super marginals that will decide the election

Oh the joy of being a swing voter in one of the super marginals that will decide the election

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Why DC is heading for Bedford. From Rob Hayward the GE2015 key seat change milestones on a uniform national swing pic.twitter.com/5iz6cWaLOL — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2015 One of the electors who won’t be taken for granted The above slide is from the Rob Hayward presentation and shows, on a uniform swing, the key tipping point seats. Column one is LAB to be on most seats, while the second column is the area for an overall LAB majority and…

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The evening thread – Marf on Democracy Day

The evening thread – Marf on Democracy Day

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Marf on Democracy day pic.twitter.com/coMtLMz6dY — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2015 UPDATE YouGov gets its sensational poll. CON 2% ahead YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Labour at 5 year low, Greens at a new high. CON 32%, LAB 30%, UKIP 15%, GRN 10%, LDEM 8% http://t.co/qK4FVYbRro — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) January 20, 2015 So three pollsters now show Green surge Ashcroft 11% ICM 9% YouGov 10% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2015 Tonight's YouGov is the first CON lead with YoGov since Dec…

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