Home of the web’s best political conversation On A Night Like This, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, this thread is Especially For You. If you’re thinking of Sticking To The Better The Devil You Know, you’ll find posting on PB is a cause for Celebration. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Memo to the…
Contrast that with the LD-held seats One of the great hopes of the Ashcroft Scottish polling was that it might flag up whether there’d be tactical voting or whether incumbent MPs would get a bonus. Lord A asks two voting questions. The first is a standard one while the latter asked respondents to think specifically about the seat and the candidates who might stand. I wondered whether we’d see an pro-Union tactical voting or whether long-standing LAB MPs would see…
The only conclusion: Labour is set to get hammered The @LordAshcroft Scottish polling that's just been published is only the first round and covers mainly areas where YES did well in IndyRef — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 The @LordAshcroft Scottish polling pic.twitter.com/j9bZrVFf55 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 pic.twitter.com/AorImxfNSy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 The @LordAshcroft Scottish polling pic.twitter.com/e0G7bWI41O — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 The @LordAshcroft Scottish polling pic.twitter.com/StconhCurk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)…
I'm hoping Lord Ashcroft has chosen a broad selection of Scottish seats so we'll be able to draw broad conclusions pic.twitter.com/PBlQWf90WD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 UPDATE – the Ashcroft Scottish polling published early The Ashcroft Scottish polling has been published and show a staggering 25.4% LAB to SNP swing http://t.co/EBa7AX8oK5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 t At 11am Lord Ashcroft’s Scottish polls are due to be published and, hopefully, they’ll give us a clearer idea…
Today's Marf cartoon on the issue "everybody is talking about" EVEL! pic.twitter.com/pyJxiQhw0q — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 A Valentine Day gift for your loved one! If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here.
Totally between ourselves @LordAshcroft should I BUY or SELL SNP seats on the SportingIndex http://t.co/8brmIVQzQn pic.twitter.com/BP0lAU6Cd8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 At 11am tomorrow morning Lord Ashcroft’s Scottish single seat polls will be published and will get huge media attention. It is going to be an intensive period for political punters both on the constituency markets and the overall outcome ones. The best preparation is to look over your current commitments and have a plan of action depending…
Curtice in the Indy: GE15 "more about what kind of hung parliament we acquire rather than who can win a majority" pic.twitter.com/QSW8BK6QA5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 3, 2015 YouGov/Sun poll tonight – Labour lead by two: CON 33, LAB 35, LD 7, UKIP 14, GRN 6 — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) February 2, 2015 New YouGov Scotland poll has SNP 48 to LAB's 27% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2015 @MSmithsonPB mmmmm — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 2, 2015…
It’s 5/2 that they can re-take the seat At GE10 the incumbent MP who did worse than his party in any of the 650 seats was Lembit Opik in what for over a century had been a Liberal stronghold. At one stage during the last campaign you could have got 8/1 on the Tories taking the seat because it was seen as so much of a certainty. For a whole series of reasons Lembit’s antics in the years beforehand didn’t…