Farage’s ratings for a third party leader are pretty poor With the seven way debate upon us shortly, I was trying to see the circumstances that led to the Cleggasm in April 2010. Using the Ipsos-Mori leader satisfaction ratings as a proxy, Â we can see how Nigel Farage’s net ratings compare to Clegg in March 2010. Then in April 2010 the public for a short time, ended up liking someone they already liked a bit more. Given that that Farage…
At this stage not naming the candidates becomes a defect Ashcroft detail from Sheffield Hallam where Clegg in troubleLAB GAIN pic.twitter.com/P9zLFxGFmc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 Ashcroft CambridgeLD HOLD 9% lead over LAB pic.twitter.com/Q1IZYGRLyo — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 Ashcroft TorbayLD HOLD pic.twitter.com/PhiaZWLZFW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 Ashcroft St IvesLD HOLD pic.twitter.com/47YM6WLD7f — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 Ashcroft St Austell & NewquayCON GAIN pic.twitter.com/D8dVRAa917 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015…
Good for CON. Economy moves to top slot in YouGov's issues trackers – those facing the country and you/your family pic.twitter.com/BLiBpch67N — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 A good start for the Crosby campaign The numbers in the YouGov issues trackers tables say it all. Big jumps for the economy to top slot as top issue facing the country and you/your family. This suggests that the opening salvoes of the campaign from Cameron and Co are the ones hitting…
After last night level pegging LAB lead by one: CON 35%, LAB 36%, LD 7%, UKIP 12%, GRN 5% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 @BBCNewsnight 's latest GE15 index pic.twitter.com/WeaN1h1LIT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 My guess is that the Newsnight change is largely down to the new ComRes Scotland poll which is a tad more positive for LAB than other surveys.
CON up 2 in London YouGov poll, LAB & LD up 1 – UKIP & GRN both down pic.twitter.com/l7YNd4Qi18 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 The latest spate of London polls has been very positive for Labour with vote shares in the capital up 9% or more on 2010. It really does look as though the party is going to do very well there. The only problem is that there aren’t that many CON targets apart from Hendon, Brentford…
CON retains 1% lead with TNS CON 33% (-) LAB 32% (-) UKIP 16%(-1) LD 8% (+1) GN 5% (+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 On range of measures Times Redbox YouGov polling finds significant improvements on last month for EdM pic.twitter.com/4gel4QUBKn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 CON lead on @SportingIndex http://t.co/rSKroIPwt1 seats markets moves up to 14. Was 9 9 on Sun. pic.twitter.com/xfW3JJ8B0c — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2015 The second morning of GE2015 TNS, with its new…
What will tomorrow’s polls show – UP or DOWN? The first number I hunt out when Lord Ashcroft publishes a new set of marginals’ polling is the average CON to LAB swing in the seats being surveyed. This gives a good pointer to the way things are going. Tomorrow the good Lord is providing us with eight more separate constituency polls with the usual 1,000 sample in each. The chart shows the movement in the swing in each wave of…
LAB loses its YouGov lead LAB back to level pegging with YouGov CON 35 LAB 35 LD 8 UKIP 12 GRN 5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 30, 2015