Video of Vince Cable’s most memorable moment from when he was the acting Lib Dem Leader in 2007 Today’s Sunday Times reports VINCE CABLE, the business secretary, is being tipped by senior Liberal Democrats as the party’s next leader if Nick Clegg loses his seat or resigns after a poor result in the general election. Cable, 71, who had all but ruled himself out of any leadership contest, is now being promoted by senior Lib Dems as a “safe pair…
The Thanet ComRes poll Farage censored via @suttonnick http://t.co/J2ax7nThki pic.twitter.com/bGXW0g0Z9N — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 4, 2015 Last night The Mail on Sunday reported Nigel Farage faced claims of a ‘cover-up’ last night for censoring a poll that suggests he is on course for a humiliating personal defeat in the General Election. The secret Ukip-commissioned poll, leaked to The Mail on Sunday, shows that Farage has fallen behind his Tory opponent in the Kent seat he is contesting. And he is…
LAB could have made this even less appealing to potential LD switchers with pics of Blunkett & Straw pic.twitter.com/cl7FIxKMW3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 4, 2015 This is electorally illiterate The only chance that LAB has on May 7th is by keeping on board the 2010 LD switchers who’ve moved since last time and winning support of yellow tactical voters in the marginals. Labour’s polling position has been buttressed by the ex-LDs for the past four years. The good news…
I am selling the turnout which just looks far too high. I can’t decide on the LAB/SNP seats yet because a lot could happen but I do believe LAB’s losses have been maxed out
NIGHTMARE! Ed Miliband as PM, propped up by Alex Salmond ‘calling the tune’ if Labour gets into Downing Street pic.twitter.com/uNFHs5deTo — Grant Shapps (@grantshapps) March 9, 2015 Why for Dave the strong Sturgeon performance was a sideshow Earlier this campaign, the Conservatives unveiled the above poster showing Ed Miliband in Alex Salmond’s pocket; the inference being that in a hung parliament it would be the SNP pulling Labour’s strings. Nicola Sturgeon’s very capable handling of Thursday’s debate did nothing to…
Approval ratings for last night’s participants Although the voting numbers don’t have much change the leader approval numbers could provide good pointers. Of the seven who took part last night only Clegg had negative ratings. Mike Smithson For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB
The notion that betting’s a good pointer to political outcomes got thwacked last night One of the things I keep on getting asked is whether betting markets are good pointer to political outcomes. Well last night we might have had an answer. Right throughout the event and on the Betfair exchange the money was going on Nigel Farage who became a very tight odds-on favourite. This is what Ladbrokes Shadsy writes on his blog:- “..on the YouGov poll that Ladbrokes…
Overall none of the seven did themselves harm As a general rule you have to wait a few days before you can draw firm conclusions about the impact of high profile event like TV debates. We had four instant polls and four different winners. I’ve yet to study the detail but it was odd that the bookies’ favourite firm, YouGov, produced a different polling outcome from the others. Having had a spread bet of Sturgeon with SPIN that was no…