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Via @politicalpics Is this what we should be expecting? pic.twitter.com/Ne7C1wTMbh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 16, 2015 Ipsos-MORI has LAB lead at 2 Lab 35 (+1), Con 33 (nc), Ukip 10 (-3), Green 8 (+2), LD 7 (-1) http://t.co/zogd88r0Fx — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 16, 2015 The main Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings which it had been polling for 40 years pic.twitter.com/Z0cQLdcgjf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 16, 2015 After the debate about phone polls and internet ones today’s Ipsos-MORI survey for…

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Hopefully this’ll provide us with further insights It’s an early start for me this morning to get to Westminster for what looks set to be the most important gathering of academic forecasters before the big day. Its being arranged by the Political Studies Association and features just about all the big names and academic forecasting groups. The briefing will cover “Latest national polling; likely distribution of seats; viability of minority government; feasible coalition permutations; likely time needed to form Government;…

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Might CON first timers hang on like LAB did then Labour returned to power in May 1997 and four years and one month later Tony Blair went to the country to renew his mandate. The outcome was never really in doubt and on the day, as the official record shows above, LAB won on a reduced vote share. Yet this hardly mattered in terms of seats The actual drop in the lead over the Tories was 3.6% yet William Hague’s…

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AndyJS has just finished what looks set to be a great resource for the election. A full candidate database with all those standing in the election which linked to key data about the constituency. You can link to it here. It is an excellent piece of work and will come in useful in the the coming three weeks and a day that remain.