The first of tonight’s three polls has the Tories still ahead but their lead falls from four to one

The first of tonight’s three polls has the Tories still ahead but their lead falls from four to one

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Actually that @OpiniumResearch poll is Con 34 (-2) Lab 33 (+1) LD 9 (+1) UKIP 13 (nc) Greens 6 (+1) pic.twitter.com/Tpcy1ObelP — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 25, 2015 Latest @OpiniumResearch leader ratings pic.twitter.com/xE5Cx4YzyU — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 25, 2015 The fieldwork was Tuesday to Friday inclusive. Tonight I’m expecting Survation and YouGov polls as well, this thread will be updated as they come in. TSE #yougov #sundaytimes Labour maintain 2 point lead with 10 days to go. Labour 34, Con 32, ukip…

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David Herdson asks: Where’s Cleggy?

David Herdson asks: Where’s Cleggy?

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Solving the riddle of the election’s missing man Two Kings and a Joker is the hand the media traditionally aims to deal the public in their coverage of general elections. They don’t always manage to do so as it depends on the real-life characters available but the battle for No 10 is usually best told as a contest between two big parties with a wild-card element thrown in. That wild-card has usually been the Lib Dems, or the Liberal-SDP alliance…

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Latest wave of Ashcroft seat polling sees UKIP taking Thurrock but losing Rochester

Latest wave of Ashcroft seat polling sees UKIP taking Thurrock but losing Rochester

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Summary latest @LordAshcroft seat polls pic.twitter.com/I0ST2L7UC0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 @LordAshcroft Bristol WCON 14LAB 38LD 20UKIP 2GN 25 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 @LordAshcroft ThurrockCON 30LAB 31LD 2UKIP 35GN 1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 @LordAshcroft High PeakCON 40LAB 38LD 7UKIP 10GN 5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 @LordAshcroft Colne ValleyCON 37LAB 35LD 8UKIP 11GN 6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 @LordAshcroft Bristol NWCON 43LAB 34LD 8UKIP 8GN 6…

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Marf after a day dominated by Libya

Marf after a day dominated by Libya

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If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Tonight’s YouGov figuresCON 33%, LAB 35%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 6% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2015 Update: The Tory final push Via @IanBarr67 Giant CON poster board seen in West London pic.twitter.com/HfkCSUSPA7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2015 New @LordAshcroft polling at 9am will feature key UKIP interests like Rochester & Thurrock. A good comparison for recent ComRes poll? —…

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LAB lead up a notch with Populus and not much change in London

LAB lead up a notch with Populus and not much change in London

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The morning’s polling news LAB extends lead to 3 with PopulusLab 35 (+1), Con 32 (-), LD 8 (-1), UKIP 14 (-1), Greens 5 (+1), — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2015 ENGLAND & WALES ONLY figures from today's Populus poll CON 33.79% LAB 34.94% LD 8.72% UKIP 13.83%CON to LAB swing since 2010 of 5.6% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2015 New Evening Standard London pollhttp://t.co/mutx1pxBBg pic.twitter.com/eRJJuocFqa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2015 CON 15 seat lead…

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The three 4% CON lead polls this week cannot all be dismissed as outliers

The three 4% CON lead polls this week cannot all be dismissed as outliers

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What should be making LAB feel a tad uneasy is the three polls this week with 4% CON leads pic.twitter.com/fxaCDj1f1u — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 24, 2015 But only 1 CON lead from YouGov in a fortnight The final poll to come out last night, YouGov’s 2% LAB lead, will have eased some nerves amongst the red team. But inevitably they should be worrying about the fact that we have now had 3 surveys in 6 days which have had…

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The Thursday pollercoaster continues

The Thursday pollercoaster continues

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LAB increase lead with YouGov – Labour have a two-point lead in tonight's YouGov CON 33%, LAB 35%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 5% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 23, 2015 New Survation poll boost for Farage in South Thanet New Thanet S poll by Survation funded by Alan Bown has Farage with 9% leadUKIP 39%CON 30.3%LAB 26.3%LD 1.7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 23, 2015 Amazing. 18.5% of UKIP voters in Survation Thanet S pol say they've met Farage…

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A Marf cartoon at the start of what’ll be a busy polling night

A Marf cartoon at the start of what’ll be a busy polling night

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UPDATE Survation/Mirror poll has CON 4% ahead DailyMirror @Survation poll (was embargoed to 7pm) CON 33; LAB 29; LD 10; UKIP 18; SNP 4; GRE 4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 23, 2015 LAB had 29.7% share in 2010. Tonight's Survation/Mirror poll has them on 29%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 23, 2015 First up this afternoon was Panelbase Panelbase has 3% LAB leadLAB 34% (NC), CON 31% (-2%), UKIP 17% (+1), LD 7% (-1), GRN 4% (NC) — Mike…

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