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The Labour Deputy Leader race is a five horse race

17/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Creasy, Bradshaw and Eagle join Flint & Watson on the ballot paper I wonder if the biggest effect of this will be a boost for Sadiq Khan, as all the main leader/deputy leader contenders being white, as the following twitter exchange featuring the New Statesman’s Stephen Bush shows. Labour's leadership candidates are all white – does that matter? http://t.co/pkBN2kw8G2 pic.twitter.com/BiKE36v64x — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) June 17, 2015 @robfordmancs Indeed. I think this may have turned the Mayoral race on its…

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George Osborneâ€™s first PMQs is a reminder of how strong his leadership chances are

17/6/2015 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Knowing the date of the PM’s departure could be the key It’s a big day for George Osborne. Cameron is away so, as the First Secretary of State in the new Conservative Government, he will be taking PMQs for the very first time – a very clear statement of his position in the pecking order. Looking back he has a lot in common with James Callaghan in 1976. It was widely agreed that in the LAB contest of that year…

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Polling Matters / Political Betting Podcast with James Morris – EdM’s private pollster

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

This week Polling Matters with Politicalbetting.com Keiran Pedley speaks to James Morris of GQR â€“ Ed Milibandâ€™s private pollster during the 2015 General Election and puts to him some questions raised by PBers. Topics covered include the following (and more): 1) How Labourâ€™s internal polling differed from public polls? 2) What Labourâ€™s polling did (and did not) tell the party and when? 3) Did Ed Miliband really think he was going to win? 4) Did Labour know Ed Balls was…

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Tuesday evening round up

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Donald Trump enters the race to be President. I’ll make a bold prediction now. Donald Trump will never be President of the United States of America Donald Trump enters the race to be President in 2016. http://t.co/hakRCMjDFh — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 16, 2015 Today’s essential must read. Conhome have published the inside story on how the Tories won the election, here is an excerpt. Having pickedÂ the seats and selectedÂ the candidates, the next step was toÂ understand keyÂ voters in each constituency. Lynton…

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Ladbrokes Buzzword Bingo on tomorrow’s Labour leadership debate – while YouGov London Mayor poll will bring cheer to Dame Tessa Jowell

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Edstone at 2/1 is tempting At times it feels these types of markets exist purely to contribute to the Bookies’ Christmas bonus fund, but I quite like Edstone at 2/1 given the prominence it was given during the campaign and afterwards, you get the feeling at least one of the leadership contenders will mention it in tomorrow night’s BBC debate. The link to the Ladbrokes market is here. TSE London Mayor: @YouGov poll sees Jowell beat Goldsmith 57% to 43%,…

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How Grexit could change British politics

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Front Page of the Telegraph, looks like a Greek Tragedy for the Euro, will it lead to Acropolis Now? pic.twitter.com/sZnAD129v5 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 15, 2015 How economic problems in Greece could mean a tragedy for some in British politics. To we non economists, Greece and the Euro seems to be the most doomed relationship in that part of the world since Helen eloped with Paris, there is increased talk of a Grexit in recent days, so how will a…

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Polling Matters/Political Betting podcast: Your questions needed

15/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

This week Keiran will be interviewing James Morris on polling, Labour and the General Election campaign. As most will know, James was Ed Miliband’s pollster during the recent election. Keiran will be taking questions from social media and putting them to James. If you have a question please post in the comments box. I am sure it goes without saying, keep them sensible and constructive if you want them read out. The episode is being recorded on Tuesday and should…

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It is Jez We Can as Corbyn makes it on to the leadership ballot paper

15/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

.@jeremycorbyn makes @UKLabour leadership ballot paper: http://t.co/j3sLRjNUD5 pic.twitter.com/Yp4QSGmSJW — PoliticsHome (@politicshome) June 15, 2015 I think Corbyn’s being there helps Andy Burnham the most, it will be very hard for his opponents to describe Burnham as the most left wing candidate running or the favoured son of the trade unions. Andy Burnham still the favourite to be the next Labour leader. pic.twitter.com/xTkVl98jOn — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 15, 2015 So far only 2500 union members signed up to take part in…

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