ORB/Indy poll finds that 76% think that LAB less electable now than it was on May 7th
The front page of tomorrow's I pic.twitter.com/2fkFD2SRqT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 27, 2015 But does this poll really tell us anything? An ORB poll for the Independent carried out over the weekend finds that 76% of those who had a view believe that LAB is less electable now than it was at the general election. We’ve not yet seen the dataset or the precise question wording but the overall picture looks gloomy for the red team and sets out…
Why getting a credible leader is so important to LAB: YouGov polling on why the party lost
The data that underlines the importance of the current election Whichever of the four ins he/she will have to be perceived a lot better than Ed was if the red team is to have any chance whatsoever. This polling should be at the heart of the leadership campaign. A non-credible leader means a likely third consecutive general election defeat. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Why we won’t be hearing much from the Tories this summer
The Tories Are Staying Off TV So Everyone Watches Labour Tear Itself Apart: http://t.co/AZhXnbt9eV pic.twitter.com/23BfY8ZdKy — BuzzFeed News UK (@BuzzFeedNewsUK) July 27, 2015 Notice there’s been nothing from the blue side re-Mid Staffs Probably the most successful Lynton Crosby message in the run-up to May 7th was the warning of “confusion and chaos” if Labour was returned. It was this, I’d suggest that helped get the marginal CON supporters out to vote and UKIP switchers back into the fold in…
The prospect of fighting a disintegrating LAB could cause Dave to change his mind about stepping down
Is he having second thoughts about his exit date? Following Cameron’s comments in the BBC interview at the end of March there’s a widespread assumption that at some stage this parliament that he’ll step aside and a new CON leader will be elected presumably becoming PM before the May 2020 general election. But is he? The conversation in Cameron’s kitchen came at a time when the election outcome looked very tight. Very few were making assumptions that an overall CON…
Murder on the dancefloor?
The 60-something candidate, initially priced at 100/1 by Ladbrokes, suddenly looks like he might actually win. The public seem to have had enough of the over-coached younger generation and his price tumbles to single figures, but the establishment judges warn that he is making a mockery of the contest. I speak, of course, of the 2008 series of Strictly Come Dancing. John Sergeant saw off the likes of Gary Rhodes and Cherie Lunghi but then bowed out, saying: “As time…
The LAB leadership betting moves back to the boys
40 years after the Tories chose a women LAB looks set to stick with men It seems the Sunday Times story reported on by TSE in the last thread has prompted a move to Corbyn and Burnham on Betfair who now occupy the two top favourite slots. The prices on the two women, meanwhile, move out. When I get my ballot in three weeks time I’ll put the women top and the men bottom who in my judgement are far…
Just when you thought the Lab leadership contest couldn’t get any more exciting
The Sunday Times front page on the plot by the hard left to infiltrate the Labour leadership race via @hendopolis pic.twitter.com/Avlm6SrzEo — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 25, 2015 The next Labour leader might have to keep the Blairites and Communists happy, that might not be possible. The major news overnight was the Sunday Times story on calls to Harriet Harman to suspend the Labour leadership election because of hard left infiltration, see the tweet above. I suspect the election isn’t going…