As Corbyn is finding the more he looks like winning the more detailed scrutiny he’ll come under

As Corbyn is finding the more he looks like winning the more detailed scrutiny he’ll come under

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This could be troublesome for Mr. Corbyn http://t.co/dArU3lDFON pic.twitter.com/V4WFxhpDG7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 19, 2015 Tonight’s developments are going to be hard to deal with A key part of the report:- “…Mr Cobryn was confronted about his links to Dyab Abou Jahjah, an alleged former fighter for Hezbollah with whom he shared a platform, on BBC Radio Four’s World at One. “Sorry, who? I saw the name this morning and I asked somebody: ‘who is he?’,” Mr Corbyn replied. Pushed…

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Boost for Yvette Cooper in the battle for second place – the New Statesman gives her its endorsement

Boost for Yvette Cooper in the battle for second place – the New Statesman gives her its endorsement

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This could help her in the spat with Burnham The influential left-wing magazine, the New Statesman has announced that it is endorsing Yvette Cooper for Labour leader. Given how far Mr. Corbyn is ahead this is probably only significant in her fight with Andy Burnham for the runner-up slot which could be important if Corbyn fails to stay the course. In an editorial in tomorrow’s edition the magazine states:- “…Labour remains traumatised by an election defeat that it never saw…

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In the 40 year since the Tories selected a woman LAB has had 8 male leaders and looks set to choose a 9th

In the 40 year since the Tories selected a woman LAB has had 8 male leaders and looks set to choose a 9th

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From my political mugs collection pic.twitter.com/HDPYaWSt9B — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 28, 2015 What is it about the red team and women? It was in February 1975 that Tory MPs (there was no party member involvement in those days) made the momentous decision to choose a woman, Mrs Thatcher, as their leader to succeed Edward Heath. I was working a fair bit at parliament during that period and right until election day in 1979 there was a consistent view from…

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Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for Labour? The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast

Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for Labour? The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast

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In this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcasts, Keiran discusses the Labour leadership with Stephen Bush of the New Statesman and Laurence Janta-Lipinski of YouGov. We ask whether Jeremy Corbyn is inevitable, where Labour goes from here and whether Corbyn could surprise people if he wins. Also, can a non-left Labour candidate win the leadership again and what does the next Labour PM look like..

Unusually for a Tusday we have a local by-election

Unusually for a Tusday we have a local by-election

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August 18th 2015 West Mainland on Orkney (Non Party Independent defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Independents 11, Non Party Independents 10 (Independent majority of 22) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Non Party Independents 322, 33, 238, 427, 287 (71%) Independents 74, 73, 249, 132 (29%) Candidates duly nominated: Barbara Foulkes (Ind), Fiona Grahame (Green), Rachel King (Orkney Manifesto) Elections to Orkney Island council can be, well how can I put it politely,…

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The Corbyn price on Betfair edges out a touch following Radio 4 interview with YouGov boss

The Corbyn price on Betfair edges out a touch following Radio 4 interview with YouGov boss

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Peter Kellner on #wato: A week ago, Corbyn was comfortably ahead. Now, I don’t know — Sebastian Payne (@SebastianEPayne) August 18, 2015 We don’t know whether what Kellner said is based on data There’s been an easing of the Corbyn price on the Betfair exchange after the above comment by YouGov president, Peter Kellner, in an interview. At one stage this morning he was at 1.35 on Betfair. That is now 1.43. Kellner clearly sees a lot more polling and…

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Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

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Take on the mystery Betfair punter Mike ran a thread the other day looking for markets that might be affected by Jeremy Corbyn’s likely victory in the Labour leadership stakes. He highlighted NO in the EU betting where I’d agree odds of nearly 4/1 are tempting. However to my mind there are even better bets available in the London Mayoral voting – which will still be value even if Corbyn falls just short. Labour’s candidate is being decided on the same…

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The ethnic minority vote could be decisive in London’s Mayoral election where nearly 40% were born overseas

The ethnic minority vote could be decisive in London’s Mayoral election where nearly 40% were born overseas

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Survation finds generic LAB has 9% lead Some interesting polling from Survation this afternoon looks at the likely ethic voter impact in next May’s Mayoral election. Initially the sample was asked a generic question – see chart above. Respondents were then asked, following the clips of Goldsmith and Khan: If the election for the next Mayor of London were between the following candidates, whom would you vote for as the next Mayor of London with your first vote? Results were:…

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