Nineteen days to go and the betting moves back to Corbyn
Corbyn at almost his tightest level yet on Betfair. The little slip of the weekend reversed. pic.twitter.com/jb0xB37ar9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 24, 2015
What the adulation of Jeremy Corbyn will mean for British politics
Antifrank on what he describes as “Puppy Love We’ve been here before. Last year, many Scots found themselves electrified by the campaign for the Yes vote in the independence referendum. The energy and enthusiasm crackled as many voters for the first time found that they were being asked to vote on something that really mattered to them. The idea proved far more important to these voters than any of the detail and when the referendum was defeated they thronged to…
After a general election choice that CON defined as being competence or chaos LAB is proving them right
The shambolic nature of the process could be as damaging as the outcome I have long been of the view that the most important message a party needs to get over in an election is that it can offer competent government. That was how the Tories managed to succeed on May 7th and why they achieved a majority, against all the odds. The Lynton Crosby line repeated so much during the campaign was that the choice was between competence and…
Betting on when the new Labour leader will be announced
William Hill offer 8/1 that new Labour leader will NOT be announced on scheduled date of September 12, 2015. 1/20 he or she WILL be. — William Hill (@sharpeangle) August 22, 2015 William Hill have a market on will the new Labour leader be announced on the scheduled date of Saturday the 12th of September. For non-Labour supporters, this leadership election is the gift that keeps on giving which has somehow managed to make the Florida 2000 Presidential election mess…
Jeremy Corbyn’s path to Number 10
Picture: Why this shouldn’t be the Tory reaction were Labour to elect Corbyn. Governments lose elections, oppositions don’t win them – A recession & no Cameron could hand the election to Corbyn. There are those, inside and outside of the Labour party, who think by electing Jeremy Corbyn as leader, Labour are committing the greatest strategic blunder since Emperor Palpatine allowed the Rebel Alliance to know the location of the second Death Star. By electing Corbyn Labour can say goodbye to…
The big Democratic party WH2016 question remans – “Is Joe Biden going to run”?
New key state polling suggests he could do better than Hillary The head of steam that’s building up over a Joe Biden WH2016 bid has received an enormous boost with a range of key state polling from Quinnipac University suggesting that in several battles the Vice-President could do better than Hillary against a range of likely GOP nominees. This follows an awkward month for the odds-on favourite, Hillary, trying to deal with the email affair as well as seeing her…
Big tent or radical reformers – how does Dave use the Tories’ dominance
The next three years will be the high point for the Blues There are only two realistic outcomes to Labour’s leadership election. The first, and by far the more likely, is that Jeremy Corbyn wins, either outright or on transfers. The other is that either Andy Burnham or Yvette Cooper wins by a relatively narrow margin having come from a long way behind on the first count to win on second- and third-choice transfers, at the same time as no…
UKIP continues its run of losses in the latest round of council by-elections
Farage’s party has lost all but one defence since May 7th Witney North on West Oxfordshire (Independent, elected as Conservative, defence) Result: Conservatives 264 (34% -9%), Liberal Democrats 201 (26% +14%), Green Party 136 (17% -11%), Labour 114 (15% -2%), United Kingdom Independence Party 64 (8%, no candidate in 2012) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 63 (8%) on a swing of 11.5% from Conservative to Liberal Democrat Camborne, Pandarves on Cornwall (UKIP defence) Result: Conservatives 325 (30% unchanged), Liberal…