Betting on when the new Labour leader will be announced

Betting on when the new Labour leader will be announced

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William Hill offer 8/1 that new Labour leader will NOT be announced on scheduled date of September 12, 2015. 1/20 he or she WILL be. — William Hill (@sharpeangle) August 22, 2015 William Hill have a market on will the new Labour leader be announced on the scheduled date of Saturday the 12th of September. For non-Labour supporters, this leadership election is the gift that keeps on giving which has somehow managed to make the Florida 2000 Presidential election mess…

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Jeremy Corbyn’s path to Number 10

Jeremy Corbyn’s path to Number 10

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Picture: Why this shouldn’t be the Tory reaction were Labour to elect Corbyn. Governments lose elections, oppositions don’t win them – A recession & no Cameron could hand the election to Corbyn. There are those, inside and outside of the Labour party, who think by electing Jeremy Corbyn as leader, Labour are committing the greatest strategic blunder since Emperor Palpatine allowed the Rebel Alliance to know the location of the second Death Star. By electing Corbyn Labour can say goodbye to…

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The big Democratic party WH2016 question remans – “Is Joe Biden going to run”?

The big Democratic party WH2016 question remans – “Is Joe Biden going to run”?

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New key state polling suggests he could do better than Hillary The head of steam that’s building up over a Joe Biden WH2016 bid has received an enormous boost with a range of key state polling from Quinnipac University suggesting that in several battles the Vice-President could do better than Hillary against a range of likely GOP nominees. This follows an awkward month for the odds-on favourite, Hillary, trying to deal with the email affair as well as seeing her…

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Big tent or radical reformers – how does Dave use the Tories’ dominance

Big tent or radical reformers – how does Dave use the Tories’ dominance

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The next three years will be the high point for the Blues There are only two realistic outcomes to Labour’s leadership election. The first, and by far the more likely, is that Jeremy Corbyn wins, either outright or on transfers. The other is that either Andy Burnham or Yvette Cooper wins by a relatively narrow margin having come from a long way behind on the first count to win on second- and third-choice transfers, at the same time as no…

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UKIP continues its run of losses in the latest round of council by-elections

UKIP continues its run of losses in the latest round of council by-elections

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Farage’s party has lost all but one defence since May 7th Witney North on West Oxfordshire (Independent, elected as Conservative, defence) Result: Conservatives 264 (34% -9%), Liberal Democrats 201 (26% +14%), Green Party 136 (17% -11%), Labour 114 (15% -2%), United Kingdom Independence Party 64 (8%, no candidate in 2012) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 63 (8%) on a swing of 11.5% from Conservative to Liberal Democrat Camborne, Pandarves on Cornwall (UKIP defence) Result: Conservatives 325 (30% unchanged), Liberal…

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We shouldn’t rule out the possibility that a Corbyn leadership could be the catalyst for LAB’s rebirth

We shouldn’t rule out the possibility that a Corbyn leadership could be the catalyst for LAB’s rebirth

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Yesterday William Hill put up a bet offering 5/2 on Jeremy Corbyn leading LAB at the next general election. The thinking behind this chimes with the widespread assumption that Corbyn would be disastrous for LAB and that well before GE2020 there’d be a move to oust him and replaced with someone perceived to be much more voter friendly. But could this be wrong? Could a Labour with Mr Corbyn in charge be a proposition that is electorally popular? The answer…

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Three local by-elections tonight – won last time by UKIP, LAB & CON

Three local by-elections tonight – won last time by UKIP, LAB & CON

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Harry Hayfield’s preview Camborne, Pendarves on Cornwall (UKIP defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Independents 37, Liberal Democrats 36, Conservatives 31, Labour 8, United Kingdom Independence Party 6, Mebyon Kernow 4, Green Party 1 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 25) Result of ward at last election (2013): UKIP 340 (32%), Conservative 319 (30%), Mebyon Kernow 211 (20%), Labour 200 (19%) Candidates duly nominated: Nathan Billings (Lib Dem), Peter Channon (Ind), Val Dalley (Lab), Deborah Fox (Mebynon Kernow),…

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Corbyn: Winning the election but losing the argument?

Corbyn: Winning the election but losing the argument?

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Don Brind says the leader of the Opposition has to be seen as a potential PM I’ve cast my vote and I’m pretty sure I’m backing a loser. I’m also fairly certain that we are winning the argument.By we I mean Paul Flynn and me (and a few others) who don’t believe Jeremy Corbyn is a credible Labour leader because he is unelectable as Prime Minister. The few others, of course, include Tony Blair, David Blunkett, Gordon Brown Alistair Campbell,…

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