We can’t assume that the next CON leader will enjoy the same personal premium that Cameron has had

We can’t assume that the next CON leader will enjoy the same personal premium that Cameron has had

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ComRes Indy on Sunday/S Mirror poll Sept 19 2015 This could make GE2020 less of a certainty The big known unknown of British politics is what is going to happen when David Cameron, as he’s said he will, steps down and won’t pursue a third term. Quite what the timing will be we don’t know but it is highly likely that a new Tory leader will have emerged by the time of the next election and based on current betting…

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New Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, could be a tricky one for Osborne to deal with

New Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, could be a tricky one for Osborne to deal with

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His first big speech gets positive responses The McDonnell speech was grown-up, thoughtful and measured. But his Achille's Heel remains the comments he made years ago elsewhere. — Jim Pickard ? (@PickardJE) September 28, 2015 Mature & impressive Labour conference speech by new shadow chancellor, John McDonnell. We cd pick holes in it, but that's true of them all — MichaelWhite (@michaelwhite) September 28, 2015 Loudest applause yet as McDonnell appeals to those who left the shadow cabinet to "come…

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Antifrank on the choices of Jeremy Corbyn

Antifrank on the choices of Jeremy Corbyn

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A tale of top buttons and constitutional principle Since being elected Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn has wandered into controversy after controversy.  Some of a these have been narrowly political but many have not. There was surprise when he ducked out of an interview with Andrew Marr the day after being elected Labour leader.  There was consternation when he attended a Battle of Britain memorial with his top button undone and stood in “respectful silence” rather than sing the national anthem. …

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Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

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In September 2007 eventual nominee John McCain was polling poorly. https://t.co/29bc8Nm00y pic.twitter.com/qUHfT2oQHT — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 27, 2015 Out of the fifteen polls completed in September 2007, John McCain the eventual nominee didn’t lead in any of them polling as low as 10% and generally being in a distant third/fourth place behind the frontrunners Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson who were polling in the 30s. In October 2007 McCain polled as low as 8%. In early September 2011 the polling…

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UKIP are doing a passable impression of ferrets in a sack again

UKIP are doing a passable impression of ferrets in a sack again

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"millionaire causing increasing concern among Eurosceptics who fear his bizarre behaviour will hurt" EUsceptic cause https://t.co/jlNsYWNf82 — Douglas Carswell MP (@DouglasCarswell) September 26, 2015 For a party with only one MP such regular ructions is a real achievement The above is a tweet from Douglas Carswell quoting an article about the UKIP donor Arron Banks, the rest of Douglas Carswell’s twitter feed over the past few days has been similarly entertaining about his disagreements and issues with Banks and his…

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The buzzword bingo on Mr Corbyn’s conference speech

The buzzword bingo on Mr Corbyn’s conference speech

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What Corbyn might say in his conference speech by @LadPolitics Dictatorship of the Proletariat also at 100/1 pic.twitter.com/rl9RFyFdwD — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 26, 2015 Will Mr Corbyn be a ‘swine’ and mention Dave’s porcine issue? Ladbrokes have a market up on what exact words or phrases Mr Corbyn will say during his speech at the Labour party conference. I’ve said before these betting markets often appear to exist purely to fund the bookies’ bonus fund and this one appears not…

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REVEALED: The T-shirt and slogan for the UKIP leave EU campaign

REVEALED: The T-shirt and slogan for the UKIP leave EU campaign

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Methinks that NIGEL SAYS NO is not a good slogan for the LEAVE EU campaignPic via @faisalislam pic.twitter.com/EVsbN5JI3k — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 26, 2015 I think that this is just too personal and appears egotistical. A mistake from the purples. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet