In Oldham UKIP needs to be bettering or matching its Heywood and Middleton performance to show it still has momentum

In Oldham UKIP needs to be bettering or matching its Heywood and Middleton performance to show it still has momentum

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John Bickley UKIP – 2nd favourite to win Oldham by-election https://t.co/9vjHVDFG2y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 With the EU dominating the headlines the time should be ripe for the Purples Because it is the first by-election of the current parliament and because of its proximity to Heywood & Middleton where UKIP came very close just over a year ago expectations are running very high for UKIP in Oldham. The candidate is the same and, like Heywood, Oldham West…

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The latest Republican TV debate was the best so far but won’t change anything

The latest Republican TV debate was the best so far but won’t change anything

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Rubio once again the most accomplished & good for Trump Overnight we have had the latest TV debate in the search to find the Republican nominee for next year’s White House Race. Compares with the last such event a couple of weeks ago which was poorly moderated this was a far better organised and much more inormative It was organised by Fox Business and the Wall Street Journal and there were no real losers or runaway winners. It was the…

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The GOP nomination race: Pollsters now asking, with a serious reason, what was purpose of the the ancient pyramids

The GOP nomination race: Pollsters now asking, with a serious reason, what was purpose of the the ancient pyramids

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FWIW, the new @ppppolls shows @RealBenCarson supporters in SC disagree w/ him on the pyramids by a 69-9-1 margin pic.twitter.com/1DUVYo2e1J — Aaron Booth (@ActorAaronBooth) November 10, 2015 Trump says his opponent has a psychological disease The reason, of course, for this polling question is that current front-runner for the Republican nomination, the former neuro surgeon Ben Carson, has put forward an astonishing theory about their origin. This from Buzzfeed. ..He rejected the widely held belief among archaeologists that most of…

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The Sunday Trading vote: Dave/Osbo’s problem is not the SNP but the rebellion on the issue by 20 CON MPs

The Sunday Trading vote: Dave/Osbo’s problem is not the SNP but the rebellion on the issue by 20 CON MPs

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Aside from the EU a developing story at Westminster is the decision by the SNP to vote against the planned changes on Sunday trading that Osborne announced in the budget for England and Wales. In Scotland this is a devolved matter with decisions being made at Holyrood. Inevitably this will raise the whole English Votes for English Laws (EVEL) debate because of the devolved nature of such a measure. But before we get too deep into this let’s remember that…

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Why we need more than the basic win market for the Oldham by-election

Why we need more than the basic win market for the Oldham by-election

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According to Betfair punters LAB is rock solid in Oldham by-election with 92.5% chance of victory pic.twitter.com/m9THvWH3Dk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 The battle for the lower positions is what’s interesting The panel above shows the latest position on Betfair in the Oldham by-election. Just about all the money is being wagered on Labour and it is very difficult to see any betting interest in going against that. The judgement of punters so far is that Labour’s new…

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Antifrank: “Dangerous corners: a date for Jeremy Corbyn’s diary”

Antifrank: “Dangerous corners: a date for Jeremy Corbyn’s diary”

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Labour 2015: pic.twitter.com/dpX31o2ykt — Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) November 8, 2015 Next March the 100th anniversary of the Irish Easter uprising A few years ago, when Labour were the natural party of government, Tony Blair ran his administration on what was known as the Grid. In essence, the Grid was a timetable of upcoming events which was used to make sure that eyecatching initiatives would not clash, be overshadowed by other events or, worse, be sabotaged by an unflattering and off-message…

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If the Times has got this right then the referendum is less than eight months away

If the Times has got this right then the referendum is less than eight months away

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Via @suttonnick Times reporting that the referendum could be next June – less than 8 months awaypic.twitter.com/cZa9AwlDP9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2015 Cameron to say that leaving EU would risk Britain’s national security The week looks set to be dominated by the EU referendum with a big speech by Cameron tomorrow and reports in the Times that David and George would like the vote to take place as soon as possible with June being seen as the earliest…

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