Our thoughts tonight are simply with the people of Paris

Our thoughts tonight are simply with the people of Paris

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Update – French media says at least 40 people are dead after a series of violent incidents in and around Paris — Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) November 13, 2015 Tomorrow's front page: Carnage in Paris pic.twitter.com/R7QXz4h8f5 — The Times and The Sunday Times (@thetimes) November 13, 2015 Can we all put politics aside for one night? I have strong views on this – very strong – but now is not the time #solidaritywithparis — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) November 13, 2015…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast explores what it’s like being a losing candidate

This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast explores what it’s like being a losing candidate

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Getting there but not quite On this week’s edition of the PB / Polling Matters podcast we explore what it’s like running for parliament. Keiran speaks to two unsuccessful candidates from 2015 and asks about their experiences, the pressures they faced and why they thought Labour lost. About this week’s guests: Russell Whiting stood in Suffolk Coastal and works as a political advisor for an NGO. You can follow Russell on twitter at @Russell_Whiting James Frith stood in Bury North…

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Donald Brind wonders whether Mr. Corbyn really wants to be PM

Donald Brind wonders whether Mr. Corbyn really wants to be PM

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An opposition leader’s primary objective should be Number 10 I was rather excited by the recent launch of BBC Store which opens up, for sale and download, a treasure trove programmes dating back to the fifties. My first foray was, however, unsuccessful. I got the message  “Unfortunately, your search didn’t return any results. The title may not be on BBC Store yet. However, we are adding more programmes every day, so please check back soon.” I certainly will. What I was…

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REMAIN drops 2 in new Survation poll for UKIP donor Aaron Banks Leave.EU

REMAIN drops 2 in new Survation poll for UKIP donor Aaron Banks Leave.EU

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The first referendum poll since Cameron’s EU letter REMAIN 38%-2 LEAVE 43% nc DK 19% +2 For the first time in two months there’s an EU referendum poll which has OUT in the lead. It was carried out by Survation for the Aaron Banks Leave.EU organisation which is bidding to be the officially recognised referendum campaign against staying in the EU. Fieldwork for the poll was carried out after David Cameron’s formal move earlier in the week setting out parameters…

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Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview with 2 LAB defences, a Plaid one and an Indy one

Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview with 2 LAB defences, a Plaid one and an Indy one

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Ogmore Vale on Bridgend (Ind defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 39, Independents 10, Liberal Democrats 3, Conservatives 1, Plaid Cymru 1 (Labour majority of 24) Result of ward at last election (2012): Independent 505 (55%), Labour 414 (45%) Candidates duly nominated: Dhanisha Patel (Lab), Sally Hyde (UKIP), Ralph Shepherd (Ind), Tim Thomas (Plaid), Jamie Wallis (Con) The ward of Ogmore Vale may only have been a recent construct, but it’s electoral history goes right back to…

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The EU Referendum demographic battlegrounds and boost for SNP in latest Holyrood TNS poll

The EU Referendum demographic battlegrounds and boost for SNP in latest Holyrood TNS poll

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Huffpost EU referendum poll shows battle isYOUNG v OLDMIDDLE CLASS v WORKING CLASS https://t.co/BLuULxNAGi pic.twitter.com/CeOqmo9Oux — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2015 The pollster was James Morris whose firm polled for LAB at GE2015 and has featured in PB/Polling Matters podcasts. His article linked to above is well worth reading. REMAIN had 3% lead but so much, Morris argues, could depend on Cameron. In Scotland the latest TNS face to face survey on next year’s Holyrood elections provides more good…

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So far punters are putting their money on an EU Referendum REMAIN

So far punters are putting their money on an EU Referendum REMAIN

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This is a chart that we’ll see a lot over the coming months as we get closer to the election day in the EU referendum. My plan is to update it regularly showing changes so we can see how gambling sentiment is changing. As of 3.10 am this morning the total wagered on the Betfar Exchange was £136,420 so we are starting to observe a degree of liquidity in the market. If the Scottish IndyRef is anything to go by…

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Another day in the great referendum battle – date to be announced

Another day in the great referendum battle – date to be announced

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https://twitter.com/Stronger_In/status/664143550305722368 NHS CE Simon Stevens says it need more cash #LeaveEU https://t.co/NvjRdFD5HC pic.twitter.com/F5SBydvoPH — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 11, 2015 Mission Possible: Meaningless gestures presented as meaningful reform. Read our blog here: https://t.co/g5Ybafod3G pic.twitter.com/teAJ2P2LTJ — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 10, 2015