The voting public’s going to have to get used to this An “Out” video From a Leave.EU Tweet Like this collage from @LeaveEUOfficial pic.twitter.com/hawK1NPexJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2016 From IN https://twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/701874384307298304
There’s been a huge amount of discussion about the big differences between the phone and online referendum polls. Whatever is driving this, and there have been many theories, the trend with each mode in the PB EURef polling averages has been the same – away from REMAIN. As can be seen from the chart the current month sees online with a LEAVE lead while REMAIN is down sharply. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Alastair Meeks asseses the differing scenarios In a rational world, the Conservative party would select the candidate who is best able to connect with the concerns of the public and develop and explain Conservative policies to meet those concerns. However, we are dealing with the Conservative party here and the successful candidate is going to need to win over two different electorates long before he or she gets to the voters who will actually select the next government. With the…
Dave v Boris will dominate the next four months Cracking Cameron performance today in Commons. Sure a PM has the advantage on these occasions, but he used it. Boris looking a bit crumpled. — Iain Martin (@iainmartin1) February 22, 2016 We’ve always known that Dave is at his best when his back is to the wall and that’s how it must have seen this morning with the massive media coverage of the decision by Boris to back LEAVE. His performance…
From @election_data The mismatch between views of LAB members/ Voters and public on key issues pic.twitter.com/wyXJAFk1rS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 22, 2016 .@election_data /YouGov poll of LAB members. on whether LAB's GE2015 policies not left wing enough pic.twitter.com/OzczyLjecS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 22, 2016 The Election Data website has just published its latest LAB member polling which it carries out with YouGov. There’s a huge amount in the data and the two charts above are the most striking….
But if not then he might have made a big mistake writes Keiran Pedley So its official, Boris backs Brexit. After a period of intense speculation in Westminster, the Mayor of London has come off the fence and announced that he will campaign for Britain to leave the E.U.  Make no mistake, this is a major coup for the ‘Leave’ campaign which, until now, has been widely derided for the apparent lack of credible leaders within its team. In the…
This could be a serious mistake if he isn’t going to be that active, he’s annoyed the PM, and will frustrate the party activists who are Outers, thus damaging his chances to succeed Cameron Watch: Boris Johnson's confirms he's backing the campaign for Britain to leave EU https://t.co/pxwMk12vat https://t.co/AhFCALwvnl — Sky News (@SkyNews) February 21, 2016 Boris: I won't take part in endless TV debates against people in my party or share a platform with Farage and Galloway — Adam…
An unpopular budget could see the referendum become an opportunity to kick the government and that’s not good news for Remain. I’m not a fan of plebiscites simply because often they become a referendum not on the substantive issue of the referendum but a referendum on the Government of the day and an opportunity to give the government a kicking without the risk of a change of government. During the AV referendum, it seemed the primary reason many voters voted…