The EU referendum: A battle between the social classes

The EU referendum: A battle between the social classes

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Z The most affluent are more solidly for IN The above breakdown is from the latest ComRes referendum poll and shows how different socio-economic groups responded to the 16 word referendum question. The pattern shown is very similar in most referendum polls. The more affluent you are, the higher the social class in which you are categorised, the more likely you are to say that you want to remain within the EU. This applies in both phone and online polls…

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Boris Johnson is having a deeply unimpressive referendum campaign so far

Boris Johnson is having a deeply unimpressive referendum campaign so far

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w21s5r2nTlA Boris Johnson engaging in a level of flip flopping that would make even Andy Burnham blush. pic.twitter.com/nAlfuPrG3a — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 27, 2016 If he wants to be leader, he needs to improve sharply in the next three months just to make the final two of the next Tory leadership contest. Look at the above video from Boris Johnson’s appearance at the Treasury Select Committee earlier on this week, where his past comments/hyperbole on the EU came back to…

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Betting on Osborne’s next Cabinet job

Betting on Osborne’s next Cabinet job

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Should you be betting on George Osborne going to the Foreign Office? After a sub-optimal fortnight for George Osborne, William Hill have a market up on George Osborne’s next Cabinet job. I think backing the 5/2 on him as next Foreign Secretary might be the best option. I suspect after the referendum (assuming a Remain victory) David Cameron will have a reconciliation reshuffle and move Osborne out of Number 11. Foreign Secretary and Home Secretary are the only jobs that won’t…

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Nick Palmer says both sides in the referendum have got to stop sounding so gloomy

Nick Palmer says both sides in the referendum have got to stop sounding so gloomy

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< Positive messages might swing votes It’s been widely observed that the referendum campaign is a contest between negatives. Vote Remain because leaving would reduce the country to smouldering ashes, or Vote Leave because remaining would doom us to surrender to Brussels bureaucrats forever. The impression given is that we have a choice of extremely bearish scenarios, with little hope either way. It is generally accepted by professionals that the outcome will be decided by people who have no strong...

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After the latest Trump-Cruz blow-up David Herdson suggests a 50/1 punt on Kasich

After the latest Trump-Cruz blow-up David Herdson suggests a 50/1 punt on Kasich

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He could be the only one who can stop Trump It’s probably all over: the sex scandal now engulfing Ted Cruz means that Donald Trump is highly likely to be the Republicans’ nominee for president. Highly likely but not certain. The dilemmas of the Never Trump brigade as to what strategy to adopt in order to stop him have their answer; there’s only one possible. They must get behind John Kasich as soon as possible in order to deny Trump…

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Read all about it. The news sources that matter nowadays

Read all about it. The news sources that matter nowadays

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Alastair Meeks on the media influence on the EU referendum The EU referendum has turned into a battle between the Prime Minister and the right-leaning newspapers.  In 1992 the Sun hubristically claimed to have be the one wot won it.  Will it be the Mail wot wins the EU referendum for Leave in 2016? The world has changed in a generation.  In 1992, five daily newspapers sold more than a million copies and the top twelve biggest selling daily newspapers…

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ICM referendum findings suggest that turnout won’t be at general election levels

ICM referendum findings suggest that turnout won’t be at general election levels

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This could be good news for LEAVE The latest ICM poll includes for the first time turnout weighting and points to two broad conclusions: that outers are more determined to vote than inners and that the overall participation level will be lower than the 66.1% that we saw at the general election in May 2015. Before applying the turnout filter but after excluding the “certain not to vote” the latest survey, carried out after the Brussels attacks, had 43% REMAIN,…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 24th 2016 (Maundy Thursday)

Local By-Election Preview : March 24th 2016 (Maundy Thursday)

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Dalton (Con defence) and Moss Bay (Lab defence) on Allerdale Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 29, Conservatives 17, Independents 7, United Kingdom Independence Party 3 (Labour majority of 2) Result of wards at last election (2015) Dalton Conservative 510 (48%), Liberal Democrat 226 (21%), Green Party 168 (16%), United Kingdom Independence Party 153 (15%) Candidates duly nominated: Eric Atkinson (United Kingdom Independence Party), Flic Crowley (Green Party), Marion Fitzgerald (Ind), Ross Hayman (Lab), Mike Johnson (Con) Moss…

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