The IN lead drops by 4% in the first published poll since the Obama intervention

The IN lead drops by 4% in the first published poll since the Obama intervention

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How the @Telegraph is portraying both sides in the BRXIT battlehttps://t.co/XOqClIoPRH pic.twitter.com/MgwihNU4K8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 26, 2016 UPDATED referendum polling table showing new ORB survey with gap narrowing pic.twitter.com/3u9aBW7eXs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 26, 2016 The OUT team will be absolutely delighted with today’s ORB phone poll in the Telegraph which sees last week’s 9% IN lead drop to just five. Whether this is the start of a trend or no we don’t know. In March ORB…

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The Mayor, the pro-IN Mayor’s Dad and the LAB approach to EURef

The Mayor, the pro-IN Mayor’s Dad and the LAB approach to EURef

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Donald Brind on how the campaign is unfolding   “It’s up to you in the Labour Party to save us.” I was too polite to reply: “From your son, you mean?”, for this was Stanley Johnson, the charming father of boorish Boris, the Brexiteer. Boris is the black sheep of the Johnson clan. As is well known, his decision to join the Leave camp put him in opposition not just to his father but also to his brother Jo, the…

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Why Cameron and his team are targeting parents with children

Why Cameron and his team are targeting parents with children

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Why we need to vote to remain in Europe for our children: https://t.co/lRlS6FJ6mi — David Cameron (@David_Cameron) April 25, 2016 The polling that shows that looking after kids more likely to be for IN The more we learn about the Tory campaign at GE2015 the more we realise that micro-targeting specific demographic group on Facebook played a big part and looks set to be ever more significant in future election. You tailor a special message to those who fit the…

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Cameron’s Ipsos-MORI ratings continue to decline while Corbyn’s improve

Cameron’s Ipsos-MORI ratings continue to decline while Corbyn’s improve

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For the 2nd month running Corbyn tops the @IpsosMORI leader ratings pic.twitter.com/NzkQ5A1JZ1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2016 Cameron has his 2nd worst month ever amongst CON voters in the Ipsos-MORI leader ratings pic.twitter.com/oCIHKtdjGD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 25, 2016

Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what he did to Miliband’s LAB and Clegg’s Lib Dems

Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what he did to Miliband’s LAB and Clegg’s Lib Dems

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This is about the total destruction of Dave’s opponents I was very struck last night by the Twreet from politics academic Professor Glen O’Hara on the first week of the referendum campaign. Cam + Osbo play high pressure game, high up the pitch. Put oppo under pressure, force them to make mistakes. That's what's happening now. — Glen O'Hara (@gsoh31) April 24, 2016 The reason OUT is so on the defensive at the moment is simply because of the force…

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A minority government by another name

A minority government by another name

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Alastair Meeks asks how could David Cameron deal with a party within a party? David Cameron has had a cabal of fierce critics on the Conservative backbenches conspiring against him almost since the moment he became party leader.  In the new Parliament, the cabal has re-emerged and, emboldened by a small Conservative majority in the House of Commons, has periodically pounced to undermine their leadership’s plans on tax credit cuts, Sunday trading and benefit cuts, among other things.  The referendum…

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Remain’s long term problems

Remain’s long term problems

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Imagine a UK EU In/Out Referendum with these two in The White House & Number 10 respectively. Pic by @GeneralBoles pic.twitter.com/MsAd7FZawl — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 24, 2016 Even if Remain wins in June, there may be future In/Out referendums and that should give Leave hope and worry Remain. One of the most interesting aspects of this referendum campaign is David Cameron ignoring Harold Wilson’s precedent of sitting out an In/Out EC/EU referendum. The reason for the breaking this precedent might…

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