A few days ago during the inevitable Political Betting dissection of the too-ings and fro-ings of another day in the EU referendum campaign the fact that this race really might be a close one began to sink in. I am a moderate Leaver – the sort who accepts that there are weaknesses in some of the arguments put forward by the Leave campaign, but for various reasons sees that our future and Europe’s might be better apart. I can therefore…
REMAIN is edging back up on the Betfair exchange. Now a 71% – was 68% 2 days ago pic.twitter.com/bFB9eM39JC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2016 Could all this change when we get some new numbers? From a straightforward trading perspective there is a good reason to back IN at the moment. The third week of the month is when we get the phone polls which have been showing very solid IN leads. For whatever reason they all seem to…
No image problems like Gove, IDS or “twice sacked for dishonesty” Johnson What’s very striking so far in the campaign is the lack of effective communication skills amongst the LEAVE team. Iain Duncan Smith once again this morning showed how right Tory MPs were to sack him in 2003 and Gove hardly comes over convincingly though his writing is better than his TV appearances. For whatever reason the official LEAVE outfit is opposed to Farage having any role – a…
Can you spot what subtle message David Cameron is trying to get across if the UK votes to leave the EU? pic.twitter.com/szzuh9VBT0 — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 14, 2016 Brexiteers are in danger of being blamed for the next recession even if it has nothing do with Brexit On one side we have, inter alia, the Prime Minister, the Chancellor, and the great and the good, from the IMF, the OECD, NIESR, The Bank of England, and their Governor, Mark Carney,…
Boris Johnson accused of 'dishonest gymnastics' over TTIP U-turn https://t.co/hISwWVfW4w — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 14, 2016 .@TheEconomist becomes another voice questioning Boris Johnson's truthfulness https://t.co/AvdePerXi3 via — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 14, 2016 Good point about Boris & the truth from Jonathan Freedland. The would-be PM has been fired twice for dishonesty https://t.co/0CCFN1VSWY — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 14, 2016 A narrative is starting to develop which could destroy the favourite’s leadership ambitions
Who is on for douze points? Hello and welcome once again to this European extravaganza; this celebration of all that is best and brightest about this continent; this joyous coming together of nations near and far. Oh all right, who am I kidding? The big question of course is will Britain triumph for the first time since Terry Wogan was in short trousers – and I don’t mean the lederhosen he sported that time in … apparently I’m not allowed…
Saathci & Saatchi ad GE1979 Roger’s latest advertising commentary on the campaign ‘Facts aren’t important. What matters is what the public believes’ I noticed last week that Peter Marsh had died. He was a larger than life self publicist and showman and unlike most advertisers who believed in letting their work sell the agency he believed that selling himself sold the work. A big fan of Thatcher his agency was the fastest growing in the 80’s. His ads were recognisable…
Alastair Meeks goes through them one by one Authority figure Intervention Leave response OECD Leaving the EU was “equivalent to missing out on one month’s income within four years”. On a central scenario it estimated that the uncertainty caused by Britain seeking to leave the EU by late 2018 would knock 3 per cent off gross domestic product by 2020. Robert Oxley, Vote Leave spokesman:”The OECD is in the pay of the EU. JoséÁngelGurríais part of a global bureaucracy that…